Willem II Tilburg 1:4 NEC Nijmegen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Willem II Tilburg Home 1.43 xG · 9 shots

NEC Nijmegen Away 2.99 xG · 21 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Adam Tahaui NEC Nijmegen · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
54' Tjaronn Chery NEC Nijmegen · 1.00 xG chance 0–2
64' Bryan Linssen NEC Nijmegen · 0.06 xG chance 0–3
67' Kaj Sierhuis NEC Nijmegen · 0.15 xG chance 0–4
77' Thomas Verheydt Willem II Tilburg · 0.46 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

Willem II Tilburg NEC Nijmegen

Shots: 9; 21
On target: 2; 10
Inside the box: 7; 12
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.15
Open play xG: 1.53; 3.00
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.56 for Willem II Tilburg and 2.99 for NEC Nijmegen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Willem II Tilburg
NEC Nijmegen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Willem II Tilburg

1.51 xG created 2.43 xGA

L 1.51 created, 2.43 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

NEC Nijmegen

2.28 xG created 1.29 xGA

D 2.04 created, 1.68 conceded against Feyenoord
D 1.86 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Twente
D 2.11 created, 1.22 conceded against SC Telstar
L 1.08 created, 1.56 conceded against FC Groningen
W 4.44 created, 0.32 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 2.15 created, 1.66 conceded against SC Telstar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.