HNL xG table 2026/2027
Expected goals per match for every HNL club — the chance quality each side has built — with the goals that came of them beside it.
Showing non-penalty xG. Penalties are removed from the expected-goal columns; goals, G − xG and the rates taken from goals are unchanged.
GNK Dinamo Zagreb make the most, 2.05 expected goals a match over 7 matches with xG. That is 0.46 a match clear of HNK Rijeka. NK Rudeš have scored 5.24 more than their chances were worth: 10 goals from 4.76 xG.
Ranked on xG per match
| # | Team | P | GF | npxG | npxG/match | G − xG | Shots | npxG/shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb DIN | 7 | 17 | 14.35 | 2.05 | +1.34 | 137 | 0.10 |
| 2 | HNK Rijeka RIJ | 7 | 13 | 11.16 | 1.59 | +1.47 | 123 | 0.09 |
| 3 | NK Osijek OSI | 8 | 17 | 11.36 | 1.42 | +4.92 | 141 | 0.08 |
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split HAJ | 8 | 16 | 10.66 | 1.33 | +3.85 | 124 | 0.09 |
| 5 | NK Istra 1961 IST | 8 | 14 | 10.37 | 1.30 | +2.45 | 104 | 0.10 |
| 6 | NK Varaždin VAR | 8 | 13 | 9.87 | 1.23 | +1.70 | 113 | 0.09 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb LOK | 8 | 11 | 8.11 | 1.01 | +2.60 | 79 | 0.10 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo SLB | 8 | 7 | 6.54 | 0.82 | −0.41 | 92 | 0.07 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica GOR | 8 | 5 | 5.89 | 0.74 | −1.96 | 79 | 0.07 |
| 10 | NK Rudeš RUD | 8 | 10 | 4.73 | 0.59 | +5.24 | 73 | 0.06 |
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- GF
- — Goals scored
- npxG
- — Non-penalty expected goals: xG with penalties removed
- npxG/match
- — Non-penalty expected goals per match with xG data
- G − xG
- — Goals scored minus xG, over the matches with xG. Always all xG, because goals include penalties.
- Shots
- — Shots taken in the matches with shot data
- npxG/shot
- — Average non-penalty expected goals per shot taken
A club is ranked once it has 3 matches with xG and at least 75% of what the median club has played. Below that its row stays in the table, its rates are dashed and it sorts last.