xgEdge

Expected goals

RC Sporting Charleroi expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

RC Sporting Charleroi's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

RC Sporting Charleroi xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.91 xG per match
#3/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
13.39 7 matches
Defence
1.06 xGA per match
#4/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
7.39 7 matches
xG difference
+0.86 xGD per match
#3/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.00 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.02 xPts per match
#1/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
14.16 vs 18 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

RC Sporting Charleroi's underlying numbers are among the best in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.86 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 15 goals are 1.61 above 13.39 xG, while 18 points are 3.84 above 14.16 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.39 xG from penalties
15 13.39 +1.61 scored 1.61 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 7.39 -0.39 conceded 0.39 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
18 14.16 +3.84 3.84 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

RC Sporting Charleroi are 1.61 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
15
xG
13.39
Gap
+1.61
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.15 -0.40 +0.16 +1.47 +1.29 +0.65 +1.61 -0.15 -0.25 +0.56 +1.31 -0.18 -0.64 +0.96 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
RC Sporting Charleroi: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 3.15 -0.15 -0.15
Sun 16/08 Lommel SK 1 1.25 -0.25 -0.40
Sat 22/08 KV Mechelen 2 1.44 +0.56 +0.16
Sat 29/08 KV Kortrijk 3 1.69 +1.31 +1.47
Sat 05/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2 2.18 -0.18 +1.29
Sun 13/09 SV Zulte Waregem 1 1.64 -0.64 +0.65
Sat 19/09 Cercle Brugge 3 2.04 +0.96 +1.61

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

RC Sporting Charleroi xG trend

Current form +0.68 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against Cercle Brugge on Sat 19/09 (-0.04).

npxG · last 6
1.61
npxGA · last 6
0.93
-1 0 +1 +2 +1.07 Sun 09/08 +0.91 Sun 16/08 +1.30 Sat 22/08 +0.42 Sat 29/08 +0.74 Sat 05/09 +0.75 Sun 13/09 -0.04 Sat 19/09 +0.74 season avg
RC Sporting Charleroi: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2.37 1.30 +1.07 +1.07
Sun 16/08 Lommel SK 1.25 0.34 +0.91 +0.99
Sat 22/08 KV Mechelen 1.53 0.23 +1.30 +1.09
Sat 29/08 KV Kortrijk 1.62 1.20 +0.42 +0.93
Sat 05/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.18 1.44 +0.74 +0.89
Sun 13/09 SV Zulte Waregem 1.80 1.05 +0.75 +0.87
Sat 19/09 Cercle Brugge 1.25 1.29 -0.04 +0.74

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.71 npxG and 0.98 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 13 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 13 hardest of 18

  1. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16
  2. SV Zulte Waregem Away +0.11
  3. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  4. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  5. KV Mechelen Home −0.34
  6. Lommel SK Away −0.43
  7. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home −0.25

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 18

  1. Cercle Brugge Home +0.16
  2. SV Zulte Waregem Away +0.11
  3. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  4. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  5. KV Mechelen Home −0.34

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

RC Sporting Charleroi shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. RC Sporting Charleroi take 18.0 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #2 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #10 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
18.0 shots per match
#2/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
126 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#10/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.00 npxG from 126 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.0 shots per match
#3/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
77 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#6/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
6.85 npxGA from 77 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 87 of 126 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 49 of 77 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.7 of 12.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.8 of 6.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

RC Sporting Charleroi home and away xG

RC Sporting Charleroi per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 2.20 1.53
xGA / match 1.21 0.85
xGD / match +0.99 +0.68
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.08 1.94

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every RC Sporting Charleroi match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.80
xGA / match
1.15
xGD / match
+0.65
Points
12 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Cercle Brugge H Weakest underlying xG 2.04 P xGA 2.08 P xGD -0.04
  2. Sun 13/09 SV Zulte Waregem A xG 1.64 xGA 1.00 xGD +0.64
  3. Sat 05/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H xG 2.18 xGA 1.24 xGD +0.94
  4. Sat 29/08 KV Kortrijk A xG 1.69 xGA 1.20 xGD +0.49
  5. Sat 22/08 KV Mechelen H Best underlying xG 1.44 xGA 0.23 xGD +1.21

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

RC Sporting Charleroi in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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