Elche 2:2 Sevilla: xG & match report · La Liga

Monday, 19/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Elche Home 1.62 xG · 10 shots

Sevilla Away 2.82 xG · 25 shots

22 Sevilla had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

14' Aleix Febas Elche · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
55' Germán Valera Elche · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
75' Akor Adams Sevilla · 0.97 xG chance 2–1
90' Akor Adams (pen.) Sevilla · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Elche Sevilla

Shots: 10; 25
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 7; 13
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.42; 2.26
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.09
Penalties: 0; 1

Elche's shots add up to 1.64 xG and Sevilla's to 3.17; the published figures are 1.62 and 2.82.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.81 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Elche
Sevilla
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Elche

1.12 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 0.51 created, 1.06 conceded against Getafe
W 2.03 created, 0.94 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.29 created, 2.44 conceded against Mallorca
W 2.40 created, 0.92 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 1.31 created, 1.52 conceded against Villarreal
D 0.16 created, 1.96 conceded against Valencia

Sevilla

1.04 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.37 created, 1.17 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Valencia
W 2.03 created, 0.64 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.56 created, 2.33 conceded against Real Madrid
L 1.70 created, 1.03 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.27 created, 1.63 conceded against Celta Vigo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Elche: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Sevilla 2:2 Elche 12/09/2025 xG 0.38 – 0.95

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.