Rayo Vallecano 2:0 Villarreal: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.49 xG · 15 shots

Villarreal Away 0.97 xG · 11 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

28' Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
47' Alemão Rayo Vallecano · 0.25 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Villarreal

Shots: 15; 11
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.52; 0.56
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.42
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.53 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.00 for Villarreal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.54 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.52 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 1.95 created, 1.68 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.60 created, 1.96 conceded against Espanyol
D 2.38 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Getafe
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.16 created, 0.76 conceded against Valencia

Villarreal

1.48 xG created 1.22 xGA

W 1.31 created, 1.16 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.39 created, 0.80 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.89 created, 1.98 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 2.36 created, 0.76 conceded against Levante UD
D 1.12 created, 1.74 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.83 created, 0.87 conceded against Sevilla

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Villarreal 4:0 Rayo Vallecano 01/11/2025 xG 3.02 – 1.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.