Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Espanyol: xG & match report · La Liga

Thursday, 23/04/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.60 xG · 17 shots

Espanyol Away 1.96 xG · 15 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

87' Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano · 0.21 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Espanyol

Shots: 17; 15
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.38; 0.50
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.69
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.67 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.18 for Espanyol.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 3.70 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.61 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 2.45 created, 0.99 conceded against Real Oviedo
D 0.31 created, 1.05 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.73 created, 1.24 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.37 created, 0.44 conceded against Elche
L 1.95 created, 1.68 conceded against Mallorca

Espanyol

1.15 xG created 1.83 xGA

D 0.73 created, 1.90 conceded against Elche
D 1.78 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.30 created, 2.03 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.73 created, 1.75 conceded against Getafe
D 0.20 created, 1.59 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.17 created, 2.81 conceded against Barcelona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Espanyol 1:0 Rayo Vallecano 07/12/2025 xG 1.33 – 0.25

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.