Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Elche: xG & match report · La Liga

Friday, 03/04/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.37 xG · 21 shots

Elche Away 0.44 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

74' Randy Nteka Rayo Vallecano · 0.21 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Elche

Shots: 21; 9
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 11; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.21; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 1.81 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.41 xG created 1.17 xGA

D 0.83 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Betis
D 1.33 created, 0.54 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.45 created, 0.99 conceded against Real Oviedo
D 0.31 created, 1.05 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.73 created, 1.24 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Barcelona

Elche

1.40 xG created 1.51 xGA

D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.82 created, 3.19 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.90 created, 0.73 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.29 created, 1.62 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.84 created, 1.25 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.47 conceded against Mallorca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Elche 4:0 Rayo Vallecano 21/12/2025 xG 2.40 – 0.92

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.