Real Madrid 4:1 Elche: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 1.25 xG · 14 shots

Elche Away 0.84 xG · 12 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Antonio Rüdiger Real Madrid · 0.16 xG chance 1–0
44' Federico Valverde Real Madrid · 0.14 xG chance 2–0
66' Dean Huijsen Real Madrid · 0.38 xG chance 3–0
85' Manuel Ángel Morán (o.g.) Elche · 0.14 xG chance 3–1
89' Arda Güler Real Madrid · 0.01 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Elche

Shots: 14; 12
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 5; 8
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.67; 0.51
Set-piece xG: 0.62; 0.47
Penalties: —; —

Real Madrid's shots add up to 1.29 xG and Elche's to 0.98; the published figures are 1.25 and 0.84.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.27 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Elche
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

1.73 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 2.14 created, 0.96 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.03 created, 0.44 conceded against Valencia
W 3.10 created, 1.67 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.69 created, 2.05 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.57 created, 0.49 conceded against Getafe
W 0.87 created, 1.05 conceded against Celta Vigo

Elche

1.37 xG created 2.52 xGA

L 1.00 created, 6.24 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.18 created, 2.59 conceded against Real Sociedad
D 2.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.82 created, 3.19 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.90 created, 0.73 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.29 created, 1.62 conceded against Villarreal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Elche 2:2 Real Madrid 23/11/2025 xG 1.44 – 3.49

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.