Real Madrid 4:2 Athletic Club: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 23/05/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 1.90 xG · 13 shots

Athletic Club Away 0.81 xG · 8 shots

42 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

12' Gonzalo García Real Madrid · 0.49 xG chance 1–0
41' Jude Bellingham Real Madrid · 0.06 xG chance 2–0
45' Gorka Guruzeta Athletic Club · 0.18 xG chance 2–1
51' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.04 xG chance 3–1
88' Brahim Díaz Real Madrid · 0.72 xG chance 4–1
90' Urko Izeta Athletic Club · 0.37 xG chance 4–2

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Athletic Club

Shots: 13; 8
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.87; 0.71
Set-piece xG: 0.03; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.81 for Athletic Club.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

1.35 xG created 1.14 xGA

W 1.62 created, 1.76 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 1.19 created, 1.08 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.10 created, 1.21 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.36 created, 1.04 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.00 created, 0.72 conceded against Sevilla

Athletic Club

1.09 xG created 0.98 xGA

W 0.54 created, 1.21 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.80 created, 2.09 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 0.97 created, 0.49 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.93 created, 1.19 conceded against Valencia
L 0.82 created, 0.76 conceded against Espanyol
D 2.49 created, 0.15 conceded against Celta Vigo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Athletic Club 0:3 Real Madrid 03/12/2025 xG 0.84 – 2.21

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.