Real Sociedad 2:3 Villarreal: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Sociedad Home 1.02 xG · 18 shots

Villarreal Away 1.51 xG · 10 shots

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

31' Ayoze Pérez Villarreal · 0.93 xG chance 0–1
57' Alberto Moleiro Villarreal · 0.10 xG chance 0–2
60' Carlos Soler Real Sociedad · 0.08 xG chance 1–2
87' Ander Barrenetxea Real Sociedad · 0.06 xG chance 2–2
90' Alberto Moleiro Villarreal · 0.04 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Real Sociedad Villarreal

Shots: 18; 10
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.44; 1.45
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Real Sociedad's shots add up to 1.01 xG and Villarreal's to 1.56; the published figures are 1.02 and 1.51.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.57 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Sociedad

1.41 xG created 0.83 xGA

L 0.79 created, 0.80 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.55 created, 0.95 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.61 created, 0.23 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.52 created, 0.83 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.36 created, 0.80 conceded against Elche
W 1.63 created, 1.34 conceded against Osasuna

Villarreal

1.78 xG created 1.34 xGA

L 1.00 created, 3.52 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.66 created, 1.18 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.18 created, 0.80 conceded against Valencia
W 3.02 created, 1.02 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.61 created, 0.50 conceded against Espanyol
W 2.23 created, 1.02 conceded against Mallorca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.