CD Nacional 2:0 Vitória SC: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 0.93 xG

Vitória SC Away 1.38 xG

20 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional Vitória SC

Shots: 5; 13
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 3; 8
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.00 xG created 1.46 xGA

W 0.99 created, 0.50 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
L 0.25 created, 3.43 conceded against Benfica
W 1.03 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Alverca
W 1.26 created, 1.38 conceded against Tondela
L 1.83 created, 1.64 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Santa Clara

Vitória SC

1.43 xG created 1.33 xGA

W 2.55 created, 0.06 conceded against Tondela
D 2.62 created, 1.01 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 0.82 created, 1.21 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.13 created, 0.59 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.52 created, 4.22 conceded against Sporting
L 0.94 created, 0.88 conceded against Casa Pia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Vitória SC 2:1 CD Nacional 02/01/2026 xG 0.87 – 1.50

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.