xgEdge

Sporting Braga's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 2 of 2 matching results

6 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses

6 pts 2–0 goals +2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
2.62 – 0.98
1.31 – 0.49 per match
xGD
+1.64
+0.82 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 2 matches.

Comparable xG: 2 of 2 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 4.2 xPts

+1.8 vs xPts

Small sample: 2 matches.

Matched xPts: 2 of 2 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Sporting Braga's perfect record carries recorded xG in only 2 of 2 results, too few to read against the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 2 results Sporting Braga are 1.84 points above their xPts.

Points
6
xPts
4.16
Gap
+1.84
Mon 31/08 Mon 14/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.04 +1.84 +1.04 +0.80 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Sporting Braga: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Mon 31/08 Vitória SC 3 1.96 +1.04 +1.04
Mon 14/09 Estoril Praia 3 2.20 +0.80 +1.84

Scores and xG

Sporting Braga first

  • Home Liga Portugal Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.79

    xGA 0.75

    xGD +1.04

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Estoril Praia, Mon 14/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.21
    Points minus xPts
    +0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Liga Portugal Win backed by the chances

    xG 0.83

    xGA 0.23

    xGD +0.60

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Vitória SC, Mon 31/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.96
    Points minus xPts
    +1.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice

How the model works →