xgEdge

Every Ligue 1 match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 23/01/2027

8 matches
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.35
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.00
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.28
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 2.15 – 0.80
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.40
    Tight
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.23
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.14
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.16
    →

Saturday, 30/01/2027

9 matches
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 0.89
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.05
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.11
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.16
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.44
    →
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.28
    Tight
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.07
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.07 – 1.63
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.72
    →

Saturday, 06/02/2027

8 matches
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.40
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.07 – 1.06
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.42
    Tight
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.07
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.41
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.40
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.27
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.16
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 07/02/2027

1 match
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.45 – 1.09
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 13/02/2027

9 matches
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.29
    →
  • Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.09
    →
  • Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.04
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.15
    →
  • Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.23
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.23
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.92
    →
  • Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.46
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 20/02/2027

9 matches
  • Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Paris FC Paris FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.27
    →
  • Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Toulouse Toulouse, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.54
    →
  • Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.50
    Tight
    →
  • Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.11
    →
  • Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Olympique Lyonnais Olympique Lyonnais, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.29
    Tight
    →
  • AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Le Mans Le Mans, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.10
    →
  • Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.21 – 0.85
    →
  • RC Lens RC Lens, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.32 – 1.24
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 27/02/2027

6 matches
  • RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Le Havre Le Havre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.27
    →
  • Auxerre Auxerre, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Lille Lille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.16
    →
  • Troyes Troyes, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Nice Nice, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.31
    →
  • Stade Brestois Stade Brestois, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    AS Monaco AS Monaco, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.08
    →
  • Lorient Lorient, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Loss
    Angers Angers, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.94
    →
  • Olympique de Marseille Olympique de Marseille, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Stade Rennais Stade Rennais, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.58
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.