Metz 3:4 Toulouse: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Metz Home 1.65 xG · 17 shots

Toulouse Away 1.42 xG · 19 shots

34 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

6' Aron Dønnum Toulouse · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
14' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.33 xG chance 0–2
30' Nathan Mbala Metz · 0.16 xG chance 1–2
31' Koffi Kouao Metz · 0.09 xG chance 2–2
45' Yann Gboho Toulouse · 0.02 xG chance 2–3
88' Giorgi Abuashvili Metz · 0.12 xG chance 3–3
90' Mario Sauer Toulouse · 0.33 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Metz Toulouse

Shots: 17; 19
On target: 8; 6
Inside the box: 13; 9
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.60; 1.34
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Metz's shots add up to 1.67 xG and Toulouse's to 1.43; the published figures are 1.65 and 1.42.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 3.10 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Metz
Toulouse
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Metz

0.63 xG created 1.71 xGA

L 0.45 created, 1.62 conceded against Angers
D 0.63 created, 1.65 conceded against Lille
L 0.93 created, 0.78 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.08 created, 2.13 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 1.27 created, 0.87 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.40 created, 3.22 conceded against RC Lens

Toulouse

1.36 xG created 0.92 xGA

D 0.75 created, 0.56 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.45 created, 0.98 conceded against Angers
L 2.57 created, 1.16 conceded against Le Havre
D 2.89 created, 0.82 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.49 created, 0.92 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 0.98 created, 1.09 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Metz: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Toulouse 4:0 Metz 19/10/2025 xG 2.54 – 0.08

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.