Toulouse 1:1 Paris FC: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Toulouse Home 2.89 xG · 23 shots

Paris FC Away 0.82 xG · 5 shots

11 Toulouse had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

39' Marshall Munetsi Paris FC · 0.55 xG chance 0–1
87' Julian Vignolo Toulouse · 0.81 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Toulouse Paris FC

Shots: 23; 5
On target: 10; 2
Inside the box: 13; 2
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.16
Open play xG: 1.19; 0.77
Set-piece xG: 1.67; 0.01
Penalties: —; —

Toulouse's shots add up to 2.86 xG and Paris FC's to 0.78; the published figures are 2.89 and 0.82.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Toulouse
Paris FC
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Toulouse

1.11 xG created 1.22 xGA

L 0.66 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.84 created, 1.99 conceded against Nice
W 0.37 created, 0.99 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.75 created, 0.56 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.45 created, 0.98 conceded against Angers
L 2.57 created, 1.16 conceded against Le Havre

Paris FC

0.98 xG created 1.62 xGA

L 1.01 created, 1.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 0.97 created, 0.36 conceded against Nantes
D 0.70 created, 0.66 conceded against Angers
D 1.76 created, 2.41 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
D 0.87 created, 1.14 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.58 created, 3.45 conceded against RC Lens

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Toulouse: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Paris FC 0:3 Toulouse 13/12/2025 xG 0.46 – 2.54

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.