NB I (Hungary) expected points table 2026/2027
Every NB I (Hungary) club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
Puskás Akadémia lead on expected points with 11.56 over 7 matches with xG. That is 1.23 clear of Újpest. ETO FC Győr sit 11 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 1 against 12 on expected points. Nyiregyháza Spartacus sit 7 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 10 against 3 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskás Akadémia PUS | 8 | 15 | 11.56 | +0.44 | 2 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | Újpest ÚJP | 8 | 14 | 10.33 | +3.67 | 4 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Nyiregyháza Spartacus NYI | 8 | 8 | 8.47 | −4.47 | 10 | 7 places below its expected-points rank |
| 4 | Vasas VAS | 8 | 14 | 8.41 | +0.59 | 3 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 5 | MTK Budapest MTK | 8 | 9 | 8.11 | −3.11 | 7 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | Debreceni VSC DEB | 8 | 9 | 7.46 | −2.46 | 9 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Kisvárda FC KIS | 8 | 9 | 5.87 | +1.13 | 8 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | Ferencváros TC FER | 7 | 12 | 5.74 | +1.26 | 5 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | Zalaegerszegi TE ZAL | 8 | 6 | 4.81 | −1.81 | 12 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Paksi FC PAK | 8 | 11 | 4.25 | +2.75 | 6 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Budapest Honvéd FC BUD | 7 | 6 | 3.25 | −0.25 | 11 | Same place as on expected points |
| 12 | ETO FC Győr ETO | 8 | 15 | 3.08 | +1.92 | 1 | 11 places above its expected-points rank |
12 of the 12 clubs here have expected figures over fewer matches than they have played. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.