xgEdge

Expected goals

Cork City expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 36 matches · updated 1 Oct

Cork City's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Cork City xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.87 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bohemian FC 1.38
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.31
#3 Shelbourne 1.29
#4 Galway United 1.28
#5 Derry City 1.25
#6 Shamrock Rovers 1.25
#7 Sligo Rovers 1.19
#8 Treaty United FC 1.13
#9 Waterford FC 1.04
#10 Bray Wanderers 1.00
#11 Drogheda United 0.95
#12 Cork City 0.87
League avg
1.18
Total
31.35 36 matches
Defence
1.41 xGA per match
#10/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Treaty United FC 0.79
#2 Shamrock Rovers 0.82
#3 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.90
#4 Shelbourne 0.95
#5 Bohemian FC 1.00
#6 Derry City 1.04
#7 Bray Wanderers 1.19
#8 Drogheda United 1.26
#9 Galway United 1.30
#10 Cork City 1.41
#11 Sligo Rovers 1.49
#12 Waterford FC 1.64
League avg
1.18
Total
50.84 36 matches
xG difference
-0.54 xGD per match
#11/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Shamrock Rovers +0.42
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.40
#3 Bohemian FC +0.38
#4 Shelbourne +0.34
#5 Treaty United FC +0.34
#6 Derry City +0.21
#7 Galway United -0.01
#8 Bray Wanderers -0.19
#9 Drogheda United -0.30
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.31
#11 Cork City -0.54
#12 Waterford FC -0.60
League avg
0.00
Total
-19.49 36 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.98 xPts per match
#11/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Treaty United FC 1.67
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.66
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.66
#4 Shelbourne 1.62
#5 Bohemian FC 1.61
#6 Derry City 1.47
#7 Galway United 1.34
#8 Sligo Rovers 1.20
#9 Bray Wanderers 1.16
#10 Drogheda United 1.15
#11 Cork City 0.98
#12 Waterford FC 0.97
League avg
1.37
Total
35.23 vs 24 actual pts

What the xG says

Cork City's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.54 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 33 goals are 1.65 above 31.35 xG, while 24 points are 11.23 below 35.23 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
33 31.35 +1.65 scored 1.65 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
61 50.84 +10.16 conceded 10.16 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
24 35.23 -11.23 11.23 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Cork City are 1.65 goals above their xG after 36 matches. The gap was widest at +3.66, against St. Patrick's Athletic on Fri 16/05.

Goals
33
xG
31.35
Gap
+1.65
Fri 14/02 Fri 28/02 Mon 03/03 Fri 07/03 Fri 14/03 Fri 28/03 Fri 04/04 Fri 11/04 Mon 14/04 Fri 18/04 Mon 21/04 Sat 26/04 Fri 02/05 Mon 05/05 Fri 09/05 Fri 16/05 Fri 23/05 Fri 30/05 Fri 13/06 Fri 20/06 Mon 23/06 Fri 27/06 Fri 04/07 Fri 11/07 Fri 25/07 Fri 01/08 Fri 08/08 Fri 22/08 Fri 29/08 Fri 19/09 Mon 22/09 Fri 26/09 Mon 13/10 Fri 17/10 Sat 25/10 Sat 01/11 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.60 +1.45 +1.72 +1.06 +1.42 +0.88 +1.14 +0.74 +0.78 -0.07 +0.34 +0.94 +1.55 +2.40 +2.81 +3.66 +3.02 +3.13 +2.65 +2.43 +1.20 +0.26 +0.94 -0.46 +0.39 +1.06 +0.91 +0.34 +1.45 +2.20 +1.68 +2.07 +2.11 +1.75 +1.80 +1.65 +0.60 +0.85 +0.27 -0.66 +0.36 -0.54 +0.26 -0.40 +0.04 -0.85 +0.41 +0.60 +0.61 +0.85 +0.41 +0.85 -0.64 +0.11 -0.48 -0.22 -1.23 -0.94 +0.68 -1.40 +0.85 +0.67 -0.15 -0.57 +1.11 +0.75 -0.52 +0.39 +0.04 -0.36 +0.05 -0.15 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Cork City: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 14/02 Galway United 2 1.40 +0.60 +0.60
Fri 28/02 Bohemian FC 2 1.15 +0.85 +1.45
Mon 03/03 Waterford FC 1 0.73 +0.27 +1.72
Fri 07/03 Sligo Rovers 1 1.66 -0.66 +1.06
Fri 14/03 Shelbourne 1 0.64 +0.36 +1.42
Fri 28/03 Drogheda United 1 1.54 -0.54 +0.88
Fri 04/04 Derry City 1 0.74 +0.26 +1.14
Fri 11/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.40 -0.40 +0.74
Mon 14/04 Shamrock Rovers 1 0.96 +0.04 +0.78
Fri 18/04 Bohemian FC 0 0.85 -0.85 -0.07
Mon 21/04 Waterford FC 2 1.59 +0.41 +0.34
Sat 26/04 Sligo Rovers 1 0.40 +0.60 +0.94
Fri 02/05 Shamrock Rovers 1 0.39 +0.61 +1.55
Mon 05/05 Drogheda United 2 1.15 +0.85 +2.40
Fri 09/05 Derry City 1 0.59 +0.41 +2.81
Fri 16/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 2 1.15 +0.85 +3.66
Fri 23/05 Galway United 1 1.64 -0.64 +3.02
Fri 30/05 Shelbourne 1 0.89 +0.11 +3.13
Fri 13/06 Bohemian FC 0 0.48 -0.48 +2.65
Fri 20/06 Shamrock Rovers 1 1.22 -0.22 +2.43
Mon 23/06 Drogheda United 1 2.23 -1.23 +1.20
Fri 27/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.94 -0.94 +0.26
Fri 04/07 Shelbourne 1 0.32 +0.68 +0.94
Fri 11/07 Waterford FC 0 1.40 -1.40 -0.46
Fri 25/07 Sligo Rovers 2 1.15 +0.85 +0.39
Fri 01/08 Galway United 1 0.33 +0.67 +1.06
Fri 08/08 Derry City 0 0.15 -0.15 +0.91
Fri 22/08 Bohemian FC 0 0.57 -0.57 +0.34
Fri 29/08 Waterford FC 2 0.89 +1.11 +1.45
Fri 19/09 Shamrock Rovers 1 0.25 +0.75 +2.20
Mon 22/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.52 -0.52 +1.68
Fri 26/09 Galway United 1 0.61 +0.39 +2.07
Mon 13/10 Shelbourne 1 0.96 +0.04 +2.11
Fri 17/10 Drogheda United 0 0.36 -0.36 +1.75
Sat 25/10 Sligo Rovers 1 0.95 +0.05 +1.80
Sat 01/11 Derry City 0 0.15 -0.15 +1.65

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Cork City xG trend

Current form -0.96 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 36 matches. The worst was against Shamrock Rovers on Mon 14/04 (-2.92).

npxG · last 6
0.59
npxGA · last 6
1.55
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.74 Fri 14/02 +0.11 Fri 28/02 -1.07 Mon 03/03 +1.42 Fri 07/03 -0.68 Fri 14/03 -1.74 Fri 28/03 -2.37 Fri 04/04 -0.33 Fri 11/04 -2.92 Mon 14/04 -0.32 Fri 18/04 +1.13 Mon 21/04 -0.39 Sat 26/04 -1.24 Fri 02/05 -0.95 Mon 05/05 -1.15 Fri 09/05 -0.41 Fri 16/05 +0.84 Fri 23/05 +0.18 Fri 30/05 -1.92 Fri 13/06 -0.18 Fri 20/06 +1.98 Mon 23/06 +0.48 Fri 27/06 -0.94 Fri 04/07 +0.72 Fri 11/07 -0.48 Fri 25/07 -0.55 Fri 01/08 -1.21 Fri 08/08 -1.76 Fri 22/08 -0.33 Fri 29/08 -0.41 Fri 19/09 -1.11 Mon 22/09 -1.27 Fri 26/09 -0.61 Mon 13/10 -1.00 Fri 17/10 -1.08 Sat 25/10 -0.67 Sat 01/11 -0.54 season avg
Cork City: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 14/02 Galway United 1.40 0.66 +0.74 +0.74
Fri 28/02 Bohemian FC 1.15 1.04 +0.11 +0.42
Mon 03/03 Waterford FC 0.73 1.80 -1.07 -0.07
Fri 07/03 Sligo Rovers 1.66 0.24 +1.42 +0.30
Fri 14/03 Shelbourne 0.64 1.32 -0.68 +0.10
Fri 28/03 Drogheda United 1.54 3.28 -1.74 -0.20
Fri 04/04 Derry City 0.74 3.11 -2.37 -0.51
Fri 11/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.40 0.73 -0.33 -0.49
Mon 14/04 Shamrock Rovers 0.96 3.88 -2.92 -0.76
Fri 18/04 Bohemian FC 0.85 1.17 -0.32 -0.72
Mon 21/04 Waterford FC 1.59 0.46 +1.13 -0.55
Sat 26/04 Sligo Rovers 0.40 0.79 -0.39 -0.53
Fri 02/05 Shamrock Rovers 0.39 1.63 -1.24 -0.59
Mon 05/05 Drogheda United 1.15 2.10 -0.95 -0.61
Fri 09/05 Derry City 0.59 1.74 -1.15 -0.65
Fri 16/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.15 1.56 -0.41 -0.64
Fri 23/05 Galway United 1.64 0.80 +0.84 -0.55
Fri 30/05 Shelbourne 0.89 0.71 +0.18 -0.51
Fri 13/06 Bohemian FC 0.48 2.40 -1.92 -0.58
Fri 20/06 Shamrock Rovers 1.22 1.40 -0.18 -0.56
Mon 23/06 Drogheda United 2.23 0.25 +1.98 -0.44
Fri 27/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.94 0.46 +0.48 -0.40
Fri 04/07 Shelbourne 0.32 1.26 -0.94 -0.42
Fri 11/07 Waterford FC 1.40 0.68 +0.72 -0.38
Fri 25/07 Sligo Rovers 1.15 1.63 -0.48 -0.38
Fri 01/08 Galway United 0.33 0.88 -0.55 -0.39
Fri 08/08 Derry City 0.15 1.36 -1.21 -0.42
Fri 22/08 Bohemian FC 0.57 2.33 -1.76 -0.46
Fri 29/08 Waterford FC 0.89 1.22 -0.33 -0.46
Fri 19/09 Shamrock Rovers 0.25 0.66 -0.41 -0.46
Mon 22/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.52 1.63 -1.11 -0.48
Fri 26/09 Galway United 0.61 1.88 -1.27 -0.50
Mon 13/10 Shelbourne 0.96 1.57 -0.61 -0.51
Fri 17/10 Drogheda United 0.36 1.36 -1.00 -0.52
Sat 25/10 Sligo Rovers 0.95 2.03 -1.08 -0.54
Sat 01/11 Derry City 0.15 0.82 -0.67 -0.54

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.87 npxG and 1.41 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 36 league matches
Last 5
tied number 7 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 36 matches · number 1 hardest of 10

  1. Derry City Home +0.08
  2. Sligo Rovers Away −0.25
  3. Drogheda United Away −0.31
  4. Shelbourne Home +0.24
  5. Galway United Away +0.08
  6. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.43
  7. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.14
  8. Waterford FC Home −0.24
  9. Bohemian FC Away +0.29
  10. Derry City Away +0.08
  11. Galway United Home +0.08
  12. Sligo Rovers Home −0.25
  13. Waterford FC Away −0.24
  14. Shelbourne Away +0.24
  15. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.43
  16. Drogheda United Home −0.31
  17. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.14
  18. Bohemian FC Home +0.29
  19. Shelbourne Home +0.24
  20. Galway United Away +0.08
  21. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.43
  22. Derry City Home +0.08
  23. Drogheda United Away −0.31
  24. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.14
  25. Sligo Rovers Away −0.25
  26. Waterford FC Home −0.24
  27. Bohemian FC Away +0.29
  28. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.14
  29. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.43
  30. Derry City Away +0.08
  31. Drogheda United Home −0.31
  32. Shelbourne Away +0.24
  33. Sligo Rovers Home −0.25
  34. Waterford FC Away −0.24
  35. Bohemian FC Home +0.29
  36. Galway United Home +0.08

Last 5

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 10

  1. Derry City Home +0.08
  2. Sligo Rovers Away −0.25
  3. Drogheda United Away −0.31
  4. Shelbourne Home +0.24
  5. Galway United Away +0.08

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Cork City shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Cork City take 11.3 shots a match (league 13.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #9 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #12 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
#9/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 16.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 14.9
#3 Shamrock Rovers 14.7
#4 Shelbourne 14.6
#5 Galway United 14.0
#6 Bray Wanderers 12.7
#7 Derry City 12.1
#8 Waterford FC 11.4
#9 Cork City 11.3
=10 Drogheda United 11.1
=10 Sligo Rovers 11.1
#12 Treaty United FC 11.0
League avg
13.1
Total
407 shots from 36 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#12/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#2 Derry City 0.10
#3 Treaty United FC 0.10
#4 Galway United 0.09
#5 Waterford FC 0.09
#6 Shelbourne 0.09
#7 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#8 Bohemian FC 0.09
#9 Drogheda United 0.09
#10 Shamrock Rovers 0.08
#11 Bray Wanderers 0.08
#12 Cork City 0.08
League avg
0.09
Total
31.35 npxG from 407 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.6 shots per match
#10/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bray Wanderers 9.3
#2 Shamrock Rovers 9.8
#3 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.4
#4 Derry City 10.5
#5 Shelbourne 11.4
#6 Bohemian FC 11.5
#7 Treaty United FC 12.7
#8 Drogheda United 14.4
#9 Galway United 14.6
#10 Cork City 15.6
#11 Waterford FC 16.0
#12 Sligo Rovers 16.9
League avg
13.1
Total
563 shots allowed from 36 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#9/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Treaty United FC 0.06
#2 Shelbourne 0.08
#3 Shamrock Rovers 0.08
#4 Bohemian FC 0.09
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#6 Drogheda United 0.09
#7 Sligo Rovers 0.09
#8 Galway United 0.09
#9 Cork City 0.09
#10 Derry City 0.10
#11 Waterford FC 0.10
#12 Bray Wanderers 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
50.84 npxGA from 563 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 230 of 407 shots over 36 matches

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 378 of 563 shots allowed over 36 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Cork City home and away xG

Cork City per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 18 18
xG / match 0.94 0.80
xGA / match 1.13 1.69
xGD / match -0.19 -0.89
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.20 0.75

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Cork City match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
18
xG / match
0.80
xGA / match
1.69
xGD / match
-0.89
Points
4 of 54
  1. Sat 25/10 Sligo Rovers A xG 0.95 xGA 2.03 xGD -1.08
  2. Fri 17/10 Drogheda United A xG 0.36 xGA 1.36 xGD -1.00
  3. Fri 26/09 Galway United A xG 0.61 xGA 1.88 xGD -1.27
  4. Mon 22/09 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 0.52 xGA 1.63 xGD -1.11
  5. Fri 22/08 Bohemian FC A xG 0.57 xGA 2.33 xGD -1.76
  6. Fri 08/08 Derry City A xG 0.15 xGA 1.36 xGD -1.21
  7. Fri 11/07 Waterford FC A xG 1.40 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.72
  8. Fri 04/07 Shelbourne A xG 0.32 xGA 1.26 xGD -0.94
  9. Fri 20/06 Shamrock Rovers A xG 1.22 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.18
  10. Fri 23/05 Galway United A Best underlying xG 1.64 xGA 0.80 xGD +0.84
  11. Fri 16/05 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 1.15 xGA 1.56 xGD -0.41
  12. Mon 05/05 Drogheda United A xG 1.15 xGA 2.10 xGD -0.95
  13. Sat 26/04 Sligo Rovers A xG 0.40 xGA 0.79 xGD -0.39
  14. Fri 18/04 Bohemian FC A xG 0.85 xGA 1.17 xGD -0.32
  15. Mon 14/04 Shamrock Rovers A Weakest underlying xG 0.96 xGA 3.88 xGD -2.92
  16. Fri 04/04 Derry City A xG 0.74 xGA 3.11 xGD -2.37
  17. Fri 14/03 Shelbourne A xG 0.64 xGA 1.32 xGD -0.68
  18. Mon 03/03 Waterford FC A xG 0.73 xGA 1.80 xGD -1.07

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.88. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Cork City in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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