Friday, 15/05/2026 at 21:00
Full timeAston Villa 4:2 Liverpool
Goals
- 42' Morgan Rogers Aston Villa · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
- 52' Virgil van Dijk Liverpool · 0.19 xG chance 1–1
- 57' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.08 xG chance 2–1
- 73' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.84 xG chance 3–1
- 89' John McGinn Aston Villa · 0.05 xG chance 4–1
- 90' Virgil van Dijk Liverpool · 0.19 xG chance 4–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 14
- 16
- On target
- 9
- 5
- Inside the box
- 9
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.18
- 0.10
- Open play xG
- 0.95
- 0.81
- Set-piece xG
- 1.52
- 0.73
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.40 for Aston Villa and 1.57 for Liverpool.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
30 shots · 4.01 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Aston Villa
- Liverpool
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.37 xG created 1.30 xGA
- W 1.68 created, 0.94 conceded against West Ham United
- D 1.02 created, 1.15 conceded against Nottingham Forest
- W 2.84 created, 1.73 conceded against Sunderland
- L 0.93 created, 1.18 conceded against Fulham
- L 0.32 created, 0.99 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
- D 1.44 created, 1.79 conceded against Burnley
1.11 xG created 1.54 xGA
- L 1.03 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- W 1.59 created, 1.04 conceded against Fulham
- W 1.45 created, 0.79 conceded against Everton
- W 1.15 created, 2.26 conceded against Crystal Palace
- L 0.89 created, 2.34 conceded against Manchester United
- D 0.56 created, 0.50 conceded against Chelsea
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.