Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 15:00
Full timeNottingham Forest 1:1 Aston Villa
Goals
- 23' Murillo (o.g.) Aston Villa · 0.26 xG chance 0–1
- 38' Neco Williams Nottingham Forest · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 15
- 13
- On target
- 4
- 6
- Inside the box
- 9
- 8
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.09
- Open play xG
- 0.83
- 0.99
- Set-piece xG
- 0.35
- 0.23
- Penalties
- —
- —
Nottingham Forest's shots add up to 1.18 xG and Aston Villa's to 1.22; the published figures are 1.15 and 1.02.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
28 shots · 2.40 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Nottingham Forest
- Aston Villa
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.32 xG created 1.22 xGA
- D 2.55 created, 0.42 conceded against Wolverhampton
- L 1.26 created, 1.76 conceded against Liverpool
- L 0.93 created, 1.31 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- D 0.97 created, 2.02 conceded against Manchester City
- D 0.71 created, 0.67 conceded against Fulham
- W 1.48 created, 1.14 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
1.13 xG created 1.45 xGA
- W 0.72 created, 0.50 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- D 1.39 created, 1.35 conceded against Leeds United
- L 1.06 created, 0.92 conceded against Wolverhampton
- L 0.88 created, 3.92 conceded against Chelsea
- L 1.02 created, 1.07 conceded against Manchester United
- W 1.68 created, 0.94 conceded against West Ham United
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
Show Hide
The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.