Wednesday, 04/03/2026 at 20:30
Full timeAston Villa 1:4 Chelsea
Goals
- 2' Douglas Luiz Aston Villa · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
- 35' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.96 xG chance 1–1
- 45' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.44 xG chance 1–2
- 55' Cole Palmer Chelsea · 0.22 xG chance 1–3
- 64' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.91 xG chance 1–4
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 9
- 15
- On target
- 4
- 8
- Inside the box
- 6
- 14
- xG per shot
- 0.10
- 0.27
- Open play xG
- 0.84
- 3.77
- Set-piece xG
- 0.05
- 0.22
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.88 for Aston Villa and 3.92 for Chelsea.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 4.88 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Aston Villa
- Chelsea
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.13 xG created 1.32 xGA
- W 1.16 created, 2.30 conceded against Newcastle United
- L 1.98 created, 0.53 conceded against Brentford
- D 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Bournemouth
- W 0.72 created, 0.50 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- D 1.39 created, 1.35 conceded against Leeds United
- L 1.06 created, 0.92 conceded against Wolverhampton
2.33 xG created 1.24 xGA
- W 2.20 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
- W 2.55 created, 1.12 conceded against West Ham United
- W 3.16 created, 1.09 conceded against Wolverhampton
- D 3.13 created, 1.44 conceded against Leeds United
- D 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Burnley
- L 1.05 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
Show Hide
The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.