Manchester United 3:2 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 2.34 xG · 18 shots

Liverpool Away 0.89 xG · 13 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
14' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.46 xG chance 2–0
47' Dominik Szoboszlai Liverpool · 0.13 xG chance 2–1
56' Cody Gakpo Liverpool · 0.39 xG chance 2–2
77' Kobbie Mainoo Manchester United · 0.06 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Manchester United Liverpool

Shots: 18; 13
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 14; 7
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.61; 0.82
Set-piece xG: 0.48; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.14 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 2.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

1.16 xG created 1.73 xGA

L 1.28 created, 2.22 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.07 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa
D 1.77 created, 1.57 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.27 created, 2.57 conceded against Leeds United
W 0.29 created, 1.57 conceded against Chelsea
W 1.27 created, 1.43 conceded against Brentford

Liverpool

1.45 xG created 1.34 xGA

L 1.81 created, 0.44 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 1.67 created, 1.18 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 1.03 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.59 created, 1.04 conceded against Fulham
W 1.45 created, 0.79 conceded against Everton
W 1.15 created, 2.26 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Liverpool 1:2 Manchester United 19/10/2025 xG 2.75 – 1.34

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.