Manchester United 1:2 Leeds United: xG & match report · Premier League

Monday, 13/04/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 1.27 xG · 20 shots

Leeds United Away 2.57 xG · 15 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Noah Okafor Leeds United · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
29' Noah Okafor Leeds United · 0.01 xG chance 0–2
69' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.08 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Manchester United Leeds United

Shots: 20; 15
On target: 9; 6
Inside the box: 15; 11
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.59; 2.02
Set-piece xG: 0.71; 0.35
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.31 for Manchester United and 2.37 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 3.67 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Leeds United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

1.29 xG created 1.09 xGA

D 0.62 created, 1.08 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Everton
W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.28 created, 2.22 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.07 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa
D 1.77 created, 1.57 conceded against Bournemouth

Leeds United

1.17 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 1.44 created, 3.13 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.35 created, 1.39 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.47 created, 1.77 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.08 created, 0.86 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.12 created, 0.67 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Leeds United 1:1 Manchester United 04/01/2026 xG 0.90 – 1.58

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.