Leeds United 0:1 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 1.47 xG · 14 shots

Manchester City Away 1.77 xG · 14 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Antoine Semenyo Manchester City · 0.67 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Leeds United Manchester City

Shots: 14; 14
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 7; 11
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.36; 1.47
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.35
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.47 for Leeds United and 1.80 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.28 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.35 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 1.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Fulham
D 1.23 created, 0.60 conceded against Everton
L 0.15 created, 2.39 conceded against Arsenal
W 2.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 1.44 created, 3.13 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.35 created, 1.39 conceded against Aston Villa

Manchester City

1.50 xG created 1.17 xGA

L 0.45 created, 2.27 conceded against Manchester United
W 0.92 created, 0.59 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 1.99 created, 0.97 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.91 created, 1.21 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.37 created, 1.42 conceded against Fulham
W 1.35 created, 0.58 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leeds United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Manchester City 3:2 Leeds United 29/11/2025 xG 3.10 – 1.54

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.