Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 21:00
Full timeManchester City 2:1 Newcastle United
Goals
- 14' Nico O'Reilly Manchester City · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
- 22' Lewis Hall Newcastle United · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
- 27' Nico O'Reilly Manchester City · 0.20 xG chance 2–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 15
- 13
- On target
- 7
- 7
- Inside the box
- 10
- 8
- xG per shot
- 0.09
- 0.04
- Open play xG
- 1.35
- 0.20
- Set-piece xG
- 0.02
- 0.38
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Manchester City.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
28 shots · 1.95 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Manchester City
- Newcastle United
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.67 xG created 1.21 xGA
- D 2.35 created, 0.81 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- L 0.45 created, 2.27 conceded against Manchester United
- W 0.92 created, 0.59 conceded against Wolverhampton
- D 1.99 created, 0.97 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
- W 2.91 created, 1.21 conceded against Liverpool
- W 1.37 created, 1.42 conceded against Fulham
1.79 xG created 1.52 xGA
- W 2.72 created, 2.05 conceded against Leeds United
- D 0.88 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
- L 2.30 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
- L 0.33 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
- L 2.25 created, 1.93 conceded against Brentford
- W 2.28 created, 1.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.