Tottenham Hotspur 2:2 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur Home 0.97 xG · 12 shots

Manchester City Away 1.99 xG · 15 shots

22 Manchester City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

11' Rayan Cherki Manchester City · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
44' Antoine Semenyo Manchester City · 0.61 xG chance 0–2
53' Dominic Solanke Tottenham Hotspur · 0.18 xG chance 1–2
70' Dominic Solanke Tottenham Hotspur · 0.07 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Tottenham Hotspur Manchester City

Shots: 12; 15
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 7; 14
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.87; 1.21
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.80
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.99 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Tottenham Hotspur

1.36 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 0.88 created, 1.47 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.86 created, 0.92 conceded against Brentford
D 1.18 created, 0.44 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.25 created, 1.27 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.68 created, 2.69 conceded against West Ham United
D 2.30 created, 1.44 conceded against Burnley

Manchester City

1.40 xG created 1.17 xGA

W 1.39 created, 0.59 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 2.24 created, 0.88 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.02 created, 1.85 conceded against Chelsea
D 2.35 created, 0.81 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.45 created, 2.27 conceded against Manchester United
W 0.92 created, 0.59 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Tottenham Hotspur: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Manchester City 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur 23/08/2025 xG 1.55 – 1.11

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.