xgEdge

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Manchester City

Manchester United Home 2.27 xG · 11 shots
Manchester City Away 0.45 xG · 7 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 65' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.34 xG chance 1–0
  2. 76' Patrick Dorgu Manchester United · 0.35 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Manchester United Manchester City
Shots
11
7
On target
7
1
Inside the box
10
5
xG per shot
0.21
0.06
Open play xG
2.11
0.36
Set-piece xG
0.16
0.09
Penalties
—
—

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester United · Casemiro · 57' · No goal · 4 m · 0.59 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 63' · No goal · 6 m · 0.37 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 76' · Goal · 7 m · 0.35 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 65' · Goal · 11 m · 0.34 xG Manchester United · Harry Maguire · 3' · No goal · 3 m · 0.16 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.16 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 22' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 28' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Max Alleyne · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Rico Lewis · 87' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 54' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 15' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 39' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 56' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Kobbie Mainoo · 7' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 31' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 57' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG

All shots

18 shots · 2.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester United
  • Manchester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester United

1.81 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • D 3.40 created, 1.94 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.33 created, 1.54 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 1.17 created, 1.18 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 0.84 created, 1.16 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.58 created, 0.90 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 2.55 created, 0.24 conceded against Burnley
Manchester City

1.72 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 1.19 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.10 created, 0.98 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 1.39 created, 0.59 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 2.24 created, 0.88 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 1.02 created, 1.85 conceded against Chelsea
  • D 2.35 created, 0.81 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.