Bournemouth 3:2 Tottenham Hotspur: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 07/01/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth Home 1.27 xG · 11 shots

Tottenham Hotspur Away 1.25 xG · 16 shots

32 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

5' Mathys Tel Tottenham Hotspur · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
22' Evanilson Bournemouth · 0.09 xG chance 1–1
36' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.65 xG chance 2–1
78' João Palhinha Tottenham Hotspur · 0.10 xG chance 2–2
90' Antoine Semenyo Bournemouth · 0.02 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Tottenham Hotspur

Shots: 11; 16
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 5; 11
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.55; 0.36
Set-piece xG: 0.71; 0.92
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.29 for Bournemouth and 1.24 for Tottenham Hotspur.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.54 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bournemouth

2.01 xG created 1.97 xGA

D 1.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.94 created, 3.40 conceded against Manchester United
D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley
L 2.72 created, 3.66 conceded against Brentford
D 3.14 created, 2.31 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.43 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal

Tottenham Hotspur

1.09 xG created 0.95 xGA

W 2.18 created, 0.29 conceded against Brentford
L 0.37 created, 1.91 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.07 created, 0.66 conceded against Liverpool
W 0.88 created, 1.47 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.86 created, 0.92 conceded against Brentford
D 1.18 created, 0.44 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bournemouth: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Tottenham Hotspur 0:1 Bournemouth 30/08/2025 xG 0.19 – 1.59

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.