xgEdge

Monday, 27/04/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United 2:1 Brentford

Manchester United Home 1.27 xG · 11 shots
Brentford Away 1.43 xG · 12 shots
21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 11' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
  2. 43' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.41 xG chance 2–0
  3. 87' Mathias Jensen Brentford · 0.02 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Manchester United Brentford
Shots
11
12
On target
6
4
Inside the box
7
9
xG per shot
0.11
0.13
Open play xG
0.99
1.01
Set-piece xG
0.26
0.49
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.27 for Manchester United and 1.47 for Brentford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brentford · Michael Kayode · 17' · No goal · 7 m · 0.58 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 43' · Goal · 9 m · 0.41 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 2' · No goal · 8 m · 0.38 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 60' · No goal · 10 m · 0.23 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 71' · No goal · 3 m · 0.22 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 71' · No goal · 4 m · 0.17 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 11' · Goal · 2 m · 0.14 xG Brentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 31' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Harry Maguire · 50' · No goal · 3 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Harry Maguire · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 23' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 69' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 20' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Luke Shaw · 48' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 24' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 29' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Brentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 40' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Brentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 39' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 77' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 87' · Goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Luke Shaw · 4' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester United
  • Brentford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester United

1.30 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.28 created, 2.22 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.07 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 1.77 created, 1.57 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.27 created, 2.57 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 0.29 created, 1.57 conceded against Chelsea
Brentford

1.60 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • W 1.94 created, 0.97 conceded against Burnley
  • D 0.40 created, 1.99 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 2.56 created, 1.39 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 0.46 created, 0.54 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 2.84 created, 1.53 conceded against Everton
  • D 1.43 created, 0.77 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.