xgEdge

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:1 Newcastle United

Crystal Palace Home 2.56 xG · 11 shots
Newcastle United Away 1.13 xG · 7 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 43' William Osula Newcastle United · 0.74 xG chance 0–1
  2. 80' Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace · 0.34 xG chance 1–1
  3. 90' Jean-Philippe Mateta (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Crystal Palace Newcastle United
Shots
11
7
On target
5
3
Inside the box
9
5
xG per shot
0.22
0.16
Open play xG
0.73
0.99
Set-piece xG
0.87
0.11
Penalties
1
0

Crystal Palace's shots add up to 2.42 xG and Newcastle United's to 1.10; the published figures are 2.56 and 1.13.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 90' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Newcastle United · William Osula · 43' · Goal · 3 m · 0.74 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 69' · No goal · 2 m · 0.64 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 80' · Goal · 7 m · 0.34 xG Crystal Palace · Jaydee Canvot · 37' · No goal · 4 m · 0.20 xG Newcastle United · William Osula · 50' · No goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG Crystal Palace · Daniel Muñoz · 39' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Crystal Palace · Yéremy Pino · 62' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Newcastle United · Sven Botman · 10' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Yéremy Pino · 34' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Daniel Muñoz · 35' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Murphy · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Gordon · 22' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Lewis Hall · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 47' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Daniel Muñoz · 69' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Sven Botman · 73' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

18 shots · 3.52 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Crystal Palace
  • Newcastle United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Crystal Palace

1.24 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • W 1.16 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 1.80 created, 0.53 conceded against Burnley
  • W 1.67 created, 1.68 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.78 created, 1.58 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 0.67 created, 1.12 conceded against Leeds United
Newcastle United

1.46 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • W 2.28 created, 1.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.58 created, 1.35 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.97 created, 2.13 conceded against Everton
  • W 2.22 created, 1.28 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.42 created, 1.43 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 1.27 created, 2.45 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Crystal Palace: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.