What Liverpool have left to play in Premier League 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
33 matches ahead in Premier League
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 33 matches ahead of Liverpool in Premier League rates 2.7 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 11 of them rate easier than balanced, and 2 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.45 projected xG a match from them and 48.7 of the 99 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Arsenal away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 54/99 and a defence rated 91/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Newcastle United home Sat 10/04 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.89 – 1.02 Liverpool win 57%
Arsenal away Sat 06/02 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 0.93 – 1.44 Liverpool win 22%
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Open the match page for Manchester City
Sun 11/10 Home Manchester City Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.54 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.45- Liverpool
- 39%
- Draw
- 29%
- Manchester City
- 32%
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Open the match page for Brentford
Sat 17/10 Away Brentford Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 59/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.28- Brentford
- 38%
- Draw
- 29%
- Liverpool
- 33%
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Open the match page for Brighton & Hove Albion
Sun 25/10 Home Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 47/99Projected xG 1.61 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.52- Liverpool
- 41%
- Draw
- 28%
- Brighton & Hove Albion
- 30%
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Open the match page for Arsenal
Sun 01/11 Home Arsenal Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 91/99Projected xG 1.12 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.28- Liverpool
- 32%
- Draw
- 33%
- Arsenal
- 35%
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Open the match page for Crystal Palace
Sun 08/11 Away Crystal Palace Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 43/99Projected xG 1.36 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.44- Crystal Palace
- 31%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 38%
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Open the match page for Manchester United
Sun 22/11 Home Manchester United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.43 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.37- Liverpool
- 36%
- Draw
- 30%
- Manchester United
- 35%
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Open the match page for Everton
Sun 29/11 Away Everton Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.35 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.32- Everton
- 36%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 34%
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Open the match page for Sunderland
Wed 02/12 Home Sunderland Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.54 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.61- Liverpool
- 44%
- Draw
- 30%
- Sunderland
- 27%
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Open the match page for Chelsea
Sat 05/12 Away Chelsea Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 52/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.41 Projected xPts 1.29- Chelsea
- 37%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 33%
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Open the match page for Leeds United
Sat 12/12 Home Leeds United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.60 – 1.08 Projected xPts 1.73- Liverpool
- 48%
- Draw
- 29%
- Leeds United
- 23%
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Open the match page for Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 19/12 Home Tottenham Hotspur Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.58 – 1.01 Projected xPts 1.77- Liverpool
- 49%
- Draw
- 29%
- Tottenham Hotspur
- 21%
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Open the match page for Hull City
Sat 26/12 Away Hull City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.31 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.38- Hull City
- 33%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 36%
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Open the match page for Aston Villa
Wed 30/12 Away Aston Villa Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.43 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.47- Aston Villa
- 31%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 39%
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Open the match page for Coventry City
Sat 02/01 Home Coventry City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.67 – 1.04 Projected xPts 1.82- Liverpool
- 51%
- Draw
- 28%
- Coventry City
- 21%
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Open the match page for Sunderland
Tue 05/01 Away Sunderland Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.27 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.23- Sunderland
- 39%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 31%
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Open the match page for Crystal Palace
Sat 16/01 Home Crystal Palace Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 43/99Projected xG 1.64 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.81- Liverpool
- 51%
- Draw
- 29%
- Crystal Palace
- 21%
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Open the match page for Manchester United
Sat 23/01 Away Manchester United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.69 Projected xPts 1.00- Manchester United
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- Liverpool
- 24%
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Open the match page for Everton
Sat 30/01 Home Everton Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.63 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.70- Liverpool
- 47%
- Draw
- 29%
- Everton
- 24%
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Open the match page for Arsenal
Sat 06/02 Away Arsenal Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 91/99Projected xG 0.93 – 1.44 Projected xPts 0.96- Arsenal
- 47%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 22%
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Open the match page for Coventry City
Wed 10/02 Away Coventry City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.38 – 1.25 Projected xPts 1.44- Coventry City
- 31%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 38%
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Open the match page for Hull City
Sat 20/02 Home Hull City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.58 – 1.04 Projected xPts 1.75- Liverpool
- 49%
- Draw
- 29%
- Hull City
- 22%
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Open the match page for Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 27/02 Away Tottenham Hotspur Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 51/99Projected xG 1.31 – 1.22 Projected xPts 1.41- Tottenham Hotspur
- 32%
- Draw
- 32%
- Liverpool
- 37%
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Open the match page for Aston Villa
Wed 03/03 Home Aston Villa Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.73 – 1.04 Projected xPts 1.85- Liverpool
- 52%
- Draw
- 28%
- Aston Villa
- 20%
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Open the match page for Ipswich Town
Sat 13/03 Home Ipswich Town Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.75 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.77- Liverpool
- 50%
- Draw
- 28%
- Ipswich Town
- 23%
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Open the match page for Fulham
Sat 20/03 Away Fulham Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 55/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.44 Projected xPts 1.30- Fulham
- 37%
- Draw
- 30%
- Liverpool
- 33%
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Open the match page for Newcastle United
Sat 10/04 Home Newcastle United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 18/99Projected xG 1.89 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.97- Liverpool
- 57%
- Draw
- 26%
- Newcastle United
- 17%
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Open the match page for Nottingham Forest
Sat 17/04 Away Nottingham Forest Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 53/99Projected xG 1.29 – 1.35 Projected xPts 1.30- Nottingham Forest
- 36%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 33%
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Open the match page for Leeds United
Sat 24/04 Away Leeds United Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.30 Projected xPts 1.36- Leeds United
- 34%
- Draw
- 31%
- Liverpool
- 35%
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Open the match page for Chelsea
Sat 01/05 Home Chelsea Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 52/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.61 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.67- Liverpool
- 46%
- Draw
- 29%
- Chelsea
- 25%
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Open the match page for Manchester City
Sat 08/05 Away Manchester City Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.27 – 1.69 Projected xPts 1.07- Manchester City
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- Liverpool
- 26%
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Open the match page for Brentford
Sat 15/05 Home Brentford Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 59/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.66 – 1.22 Projected xPts 1.67- Liverpool
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- Brentford
- 25%
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Open the match page for Brighton & Hove Albion
Sun 23/05 Away Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 47/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.66 Projected xPts 1.13- Brighton & Hove Albion
- 44%
- Draw
- 28%
- Liverpool
- 28%
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Open the match page for Bournemouth
Sun 30/05 Home Bournemouth Premier League Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.50 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.58- Liverpool
- 43%
- Draw
- 30%
- Bournemouth
- 27%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Premier League.
Fixture difficulty in Premier League
Reads each matchup for Liverpool: the band is cut from the model's chances of Liverpool winning and losing the match, so Liverpool's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 2 hardest of 20 in Premier League
+0.16 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Premier League's average club, with no venue and nothing of Liverpool's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.16 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 2 hardest of 20
- Manchester City Home +0.34
- Brentford Away +0.01
- Brighton & Hove Albion Home +0.25
- Arsenal Home +0.43
- Crystal Palace Away −0.22
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Premier League and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.