Tottenham Hotspur 1:1 Leeds United: xG & match report · Premier League

Monday, 11/05/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur Home 1.27 xG · 16 shots

Leeds United Away 1.34 xG · 11 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

50' Mathys Tel Tottenham Hotspur · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
74' Dominic Calvert-Lewin (pen.) Leeds United · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United

Shots: 16; 11
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 13; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.67; 0.23
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.24
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.32 for Tottenham Hotspur and 0.48 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.59 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Tottenham Hotspur

1.05 xG created 1.04 xGA

D 1.18 created, 1.67 conceded against Liverpool
L 1.14 created, 1.48 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.84 created, 1.33 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.09 created, 0.82 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.05 created, 0.62 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.99 created, 0.32 conceded against Aston Villa

Leeds United

1.58 xG created 0.86 xGA

D 1.12 created, 0.67 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Brentford
W 2.57 created, 1.27 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.82 created, 0.57 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 0.81 created, 1.65 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.64 created, 0.57 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Tottenham Hotspur: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Leeds United 1:2 Tottenham Hotspur 04/10/2025 xG 1.68 – 0.53

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.