xgEdge

Friday, 01/05/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Leeds United 3:1 Burnley

Leeds United Home 1.64 xG · 18 shots
Burnley Away 0.57 xG · 9 shots
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 8' Anton Stach Leeds United · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
  2. 52' Noah Okafor Leeds United · 0.30 xG chance 2–0
  3. 56' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.32 xG chance 3–0
  4. 71' Loum Tchaouna Burnley · 0.20 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Leeds United Burnley
Shots
18
9
On target
8
3
Inside the box
11
5
xG per shot
0.09
0.06
Open play xG
0.96
0.54
Set-piece xG
0.69
0.00
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.66 for Leeds United and 0.53 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 56' · Goal · 4 m · 0.32 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 52' · Goal · 10 m · 0.30 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 71' · Goal · 11 m · 0.20 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.17 xG Leeds United · Joe Rodon · 85' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 22' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 45' · No goal · 20 m · 0.08 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 1' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Leeds United · Ao Tanaka · 16' · No goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG Burnley · Zeki Amdouni · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Leeds United · Daniel James · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Leeds United · Ethan Ampadu · 16' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Pascal Struijk · 65' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 10' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Ao Tanaka · 56' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Bashir Humphreys · 68' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Ethan Ampadu · 40' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · James Ward-Prowse · 47' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Kyle Walker · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 8' · Goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Josh Laurent · 45' · No goal · 32 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · James Justin · 45' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

27 shots · 2.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Leeds United
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Leeds United

1.49 xG created 0.91 xGA

  • L 1.08 created, 0.86 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 1.12 created, 0.67 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 0.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.57 created, 1.27 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.82 created, 0.57 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 0.81 created, 1.65 conceded against Bournemouth
Burnley

0.84 xG created 2.28 xGA

  • L 0.79 created, 1.10 conceded against Everton
  • D 1.14 created, 2.88 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.24 created, 3.23 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.88 created, 1.93 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 0.36 created, 1.19 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.63 created, 3.36 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leeds United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.