Burnley 0:2 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Burnley Home 0.88 xG · 10 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 1.93 xG · 13 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

43' Mats Wieffer Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
89' Mats Wieffer Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.11 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Burnley Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 10; 13
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.19; 1.92
Set-piece xG: 0.75; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Burnley and 1.90 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

0.91 xG created 2.14 xGA

W 0.53 created, 1.80 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.97 created, 1.94 conceded against Brentford
L 0.79 created, 1.10 conceded against Everton
D 1.14 created, 2.88 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.24 created, 3.23 conceded against Fulham

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.27 xG created 0.97 xGA

L 0.50 created, 0.72 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.11 created, 1.74 conceded against Brentford
W 1.31 created, 0.93 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.80 created, 0.43 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.57 created, 0.97 conceded against Sunderland
W 2.30 created, 1.03 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Burnley: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0 Burnley 03/01/2026 xG 1.45 – 0.30

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.