Fulham 3:1 Burnley: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Fulham Home 3.23 xG · 22 shots

Burnley Away 1.24 xG · 9 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

60' Zian Flemming Burnley · 0.33 xG chance 0–1
67' Joshua King Fulham · 0.31 xG chance 1–1
73' Harry Wilson Fulham · 0.06 xG chance 2–1
90' Raúl Jiménez (pen.) Fulham · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Fulham Burnley

Shots: 22; 9
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 17; 6
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.14
Open play xG: 2.37; 0.99
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.26
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.48 for Fulham and 1.25 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 4.56 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fulham
Burnley
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fulham

1.51 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 1.97 created, 1.68 conceded against Everton
L 1.42 created, 1.37 conceded against Manchester City
W 1.87 created, 1.82 conceded against Sunderland
W 2.14 created, 0.88 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 1.01 created, 1.09 conceded against West Ham United
D 0.67 created, 0.71 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Burnley

0.92 xG created 1.77 xGA

L 1.28 created, 1.02 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.53 created, 1.80 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.97 created, 1.94 conceded against Brentford
L 0.79 created, 1.10 conceded against Everton
D 1.14 created, 2.88 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fulham: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Burnley 2:3 Fulham 13/12/2025 xG 2.46 – 2.23

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.