xgEdge

Expected goals

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

PrvaLiga (Slovenia) · after 10 matches · updated 1 Oct

NK Nafta Lendava 1903's attacking and defensive expected goals in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.76 xG per match
#1/10
Attack (xG per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.76
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.66
#3 NK Celje 1.59
#4 FC Koper 1.53
#5 NK Bravo 1.48
#6 NK Maribor 1.48
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.44
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 1.31
#9 NŠ Mura 1.26
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 1.25
League avg
1.48
Total
17.56 10 matches
Defence
1.70 xGA per match
#7/10
Defence (xGA per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 NK Maribor 0.84
#2 NK Celje 1.05
#3 FC Koper 1.28
#4 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.32
#5 NŠ Mura 1.39
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.48
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.70
#8 Brinje Grosuplje 1.77
#9 NK Bravo 1.92
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 1.96
League avg
1.48
Total
17.02 10 matches
xG difference
+0.05 xGD per match
#5/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 NK Maribor +0.64
#2 NK Celje +0.54
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana +0.34
#4 FC Koper +0.25
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 +0.05
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo -0.05
#7 NŠ Mura -0.13
#8 NK Bravo -0.44
#9 Brinje Grosuplje -0.52
#10 Kalcer Radomlje -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.54 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.37 xPts per match
#5/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 NK Maribor 1.84
#2 NK Celje 1.78
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.61
#4 FC Koper 1.55
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.37
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.29
#7 NŠ Mura 1.22
#8 NK Bravo 1.06
#9 Brinje Grosuplje 1.06
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 0.99
League avg
1.37
Total
13.73 vs 13 actual pts

What the xG says

NK Nafta Lendava 1903's underlying numbers sit close to the PrvaLiga (Slovenia) average. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.05 per match, built on the league's best chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 17 goals are 0.56 below 17.56 xG, while 13 points are 0.73 below 13.73 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
17 17.56 -0.56 scored 0.56 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
16 17.02 -1.02 conceded 1.02 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 13.73 -0.73 0.73 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 are 0.56 goals below their xG after 10 matches. The gap was widest at -1.94, against FC Koper on Fri 17/07.

Goals
17
xG
17.56
Gap
-0.56
Fri 17/07 Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Fri 11/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -1.94 -1.11 +2.60 +2.59 +2.30 -0.32 +1.16 +0.93 +1.47 -0.56 -1.94 +0.83 +3.71 -0.01 -0.29 -2.62 +1.48 -0.23 +0.54 -2.03 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
NK Nafta Lendava 1903: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 17/07 FC Koper 0 1.94 -1.94 -1.94
Sun 26/07 NK Bravo 3 2.17 +0.83 -1.11
Sat 01/08 NŠ Mura 5 1.29 +3.71 +2.60
Sun 09/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1 1.01 -0.01 +2.59
Sat 15/08 NK Celje 1 1.29 -0.29 +2.30
Fri 21/08 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0 2.62 -2.62 -0.32
Sun 30/08 NK Maribor 2 0.52 +1.48 +1.16
Fri 04/09 Kalcer Radomlje 3 3.23 -0.23 +0.93
Fri 11/09 Brinje Grosuplje 2 1.46 +0.54 +1.47
Sat 19/09 FC Koper 0 2.03 -2.03 -0.56

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 xG trend

Current form +0.17 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 10 matches. The worst was against NK Maribor on Sun 30/08 (-1.47).

npxG · last 6
1.86
npxGA · last 6
1.69
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.45 Fri 17/07 +0.31 Sun 26/07 -0.65 Sat 01/08 -0.58 Sun 09/08 -0.82 Sat 15/08 +0.70 Fri 21/08 -1.47 Sun 30/08 +2.40 Fri 04/09 +0.37 Fri 11/09 -0.16 Sat 19/09 +0.06 season avg
NK Nafta Lendava 1903: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 17/07 FC Koper 1.94 1.49 +0.45 +0.45
Sun 26/07 NK Bravo 2.18 1.87 +0.31 +0.38
Sat 01/08 NŠ Mura 1.29 1.94 -0.65 +0.04
Sun 09/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.01 1.59 -0.58 -0.12
Sat 15/08 NK Celje 1.29 2.11 -0.82 -0.26
Fri 21/08 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2.62 1.92 +0.70 -0.10
Sun 30/08 NK Maribor 0.52 1.99 -1.47 -0.29
Fri 04/09 Kalcer Radomlje 3.24 0.84 +2.40 +0.04
Fri 11/09 Brinje Grosuplje 1.46 1.09 +0.37 +0.08
Sat 19/09 FC Koper 2.03 2.19 -0.16 +0.06

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.76 npxG and 1.70 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 3 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 10

  1. FC Koper Away +0.15
  2. Brinje Grosuplje Away −0.27
  3. Kalcer Radomlje Home −0.52
  4. NK Maribor Home +0.38
  5. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Away +0.25
  6. NK Celje Home +0.35
  7. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Away −0.28
  8. NŠ Mura Home +0.23
  9. NK Bravo Away −0.09
  10. FC Koper Home +0.15

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 10

  1. FC Koper Away +0.15
  2. Brinje Grosuplje Away −0.27
  3. Kalcer Radomlje Home −0.52
  4. NK Maribor Home +0.38
  5. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Away +0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 take 11.4 shots a match (league 11.8) at 0.15 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #7 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) for volume and #1 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.4 shots per match
#7/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 14.9
#2 NK Maribor 13.8
#3 NK Celje 12.1
#4 NŠ Mura 12.1
#5 FC Koper 12.0
#6 NK Bravo 11.9
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 11.4
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 10.9
#9 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 10.0
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 8.8
League avg
11.8
Total
114 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.15 npxG per shot
#1/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.15
#2 Brinje Grosuplje 0.14
#3 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.14
#4 NK Celje 0.12
#5 FC Koper 0.12
#6 Kalcer Radomlje 0.11
#7 NK Bravo 0.11
#8 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.11
#9 NŠ Mura 0.10
#10 NK Maribor 0.10
League avg
0.12
Total
17.58 npxG from 114 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.1 shots per match
#10/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Maribor 8.7
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 9.6
#3 NK Celje 9.9
=4 Brinje Grosuplje 10.8
=4 NŠ Mura 10.8
#6 FC Koper 11.5
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 12.1
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 12.8
#9 NK Bravo 14.6
#10 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 17.1
League avg
11.8
Total
171 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#2/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 NK Maribor 0.10
#2 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.10
#3 NK Celje 0.11
#4 FC Koper 0.11
#5 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.11
#6 NŠ Mura 0.12
#7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.12
#8 NK Bravo 0.13
#9 Kalcer Radomlje 0.15
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 0.16
League avg
0.12
Total
17.03 npxGA from 171 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 77 of 114 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

52% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 89 of 171 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 home and away xG

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 5
xG / match 1.65 1.86
xGA / match 1.67 1.73
xGD / match -0.02 +0.13
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.29 1.46

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every NK Nafta Lendava 1903 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.65
xGA / match
1.67
xGD / match
-0.02
Points
6 of 15
  1. Fri 04/09 Kalcer Radomlje H Best underlying xG 3.23 xGA 0.84 xGD +2.39
  2. Sun 30/08 NK Maribor H Weakest underlying xG 0.52 xGA 1.99 xGD -1.47
  3. Sat 15/08 NK Celje H xG 1.29 xGA 2.11 xGD -0.82
  4. Sat 01/08 NŠ Mura H xG 1.29 xGA 1.94 xGD -0.65
  5. Fri 17/07 FC Koper H xG 1.94 xGA 1.49 xGD +0.45

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.23. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

NK Nafta Lendava 1903 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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