Expected goals
Orenburg expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Russian Premier League · after 1 match · updated 1 Oct
Orenburg's attacking and defensive expected goals in Russian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Orenburg xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓- League avg
- 1.81
- Total
- 1.44 1 match
- League avg
- 1.81
- Total
- 1.29 1 match
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +0.15 1 match
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 1.48 vs 9 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 1 match, per-match rates can move quickly.
Expected goals here are summed over 1 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
Orenburg have created about as much as they have allowed so far, at +0.15 xG difference per match. After only 1 match, treat every figure here as provisional.
Actual vs expected
The running totals appear after the second match.
The trend appears after 3 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 3 hardest of 16 in Russian Premier League
- +0.11 xG vs league average
- 8 of 9 league matches against a rated opponent
- Last 5
- +0.16 xG vs league average
- 4 of 5 league matches against a rated opponent
- Not ranked: 4 of the 5 opponents are rated, and Last 5 ranks a run only when all of them are.
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.11 xG vs league average · 8 of 9 rated · number 3 hardest of 16
- FK Krasnodar Home +0.56
- Dynamo Moscow Away +0.13
- Akron Togliatti Home −0.53
- FC Spartak Moscow Away +0.47
- Fakel Voronezh Away not yet rated
- Lokomotiv Moscow Home +0.12
- Rubin Kazan Away −0.31
- Zenit St. Petersburg Home +0.48
- FC Rostov Home −0.06
Last 5
+0.16 xG vs league average · 4 of 5 rated
- FK Krasnodar Home +0.56
- Dynamo Moscow Away +0.13
- Akron Togliatti Home −0.53
- FC Spartak Moscow Away +0.47
- Fakel Voronezh Away not yet rated
Orenburg shots and chance quality
Attack
- League avg
- 16.1
- Total
- 17 shots from 1 match
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 1.44 npxG from 17 shots
Defence
- League avg
- 16.1
- Total
- 16 shots allowed from 1 match
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 1.29 npxGA from 16 shots
Orenburg home and away xG
| Measure | Home only 1 match with xG | Away no matches with xG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 1 with xG | 4 0 with xG |
| xG / match | 1.44 | — |
| xGA / match | 1.29 | — |
| xGD / match | +0.15 | — |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.48 | — |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Orenburg match by xG
Away this season
- Matches
- 4 0 with xG
- xG / match
- —
- xGA / match
- —
- xGD / match
- —
- Points
- 3 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Orenburg in Russian Premier League
Attack
Overall
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.