Aberdeen 2:1 Heart of Midlothian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 01/08/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen Home 2.66 xG · 11 shots

Heart of Midlothian Away 1.34 xG · 19 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

35' Oisin McEntee Heart of Midlothian · 0.27 xG chance 0–1
90' Kevin Nisbet Aberdeen · 0.65 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Kevin Nisbet (pen.) Aberdeen · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Aberdeen Heart of Midlothian

Shots: 11; 19
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 7; 12
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.30; 0.54
Set-piece xG: 1.23; 0.79
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.53 for Aberdeen and 1.34 for Heart of Midlothian.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aberdeen
Heart of Midlothian
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aberdeen

1.12 xG created 0.99 xGA

W 1.97 created, 0.16 conceded against Hibernian
W 0.47 created, 0.54 conceded against Kilmarnock
D 0.70 created, 1.56 conceded against Livingston
W 1.78 created, 0.46 conceded against Dundee United
L 0.52 created, 1.46 conceded against St. Mirren
L 1.29 created, 1.78 conceded against Dundee FC

Heart of Midlothian

1.16 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 1.74 created, 2.01 conceded against Motherwell
W 1.83 created, 0.52 conceded against Hibernian
W 0.75 created, 0.82 conceded against Rangers
D 1.09 created, 0.45 conceded against Motherwell
W 0.59 created, 0.30 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.96 created, 2.82 conceded against Celtic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aberdeen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.