xgEdge

Dundee FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

4 available results · Last 5 requested

Reset filters

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

7 pts 6–4 goals +2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.33 – 5.30
1.58 – 1.33 per match
xGD
+1.03
+0.26 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 1 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 6.4 xPts

+0.6 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · Home

Dundee FC's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +1.03 xG difference overall on 6.33–5.30. Their points total of 7 sits 0.6 above the model's 6.4 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Dundee FC are 0.60 points above their xPts.

Points
7
xPts
6.40
Gap
+0.60
Sat 08/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +0.54 +0.20 -0.84 +0.60 +0.54 -0.34 -1.04 +1.44 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Dundee FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Aberdeen 3 2.46 +0.54 +0.54
Sun 30/08 Hibernian 0 0.34 -0.34 +0.20
Wed 02/09 St. Johnstone 1 2.04 -1.04 -0.84
Sat 19/09 Motherwell 3 1.56 +1.44 +0.60

Scores and xG

Dundee FC first

  • Home Scottish Premiership Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.36

    xGA 1.10

    xGD +0.26

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Motherwell, Sat 19/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.57
    Points minus xPts
    +1.43

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Scottish Premiership Draw against the chances

    xG 1.97

    xGA 1.08

    xGD +0.89

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · St. Johnstone, Wed 02/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.04
    Points minus xPts
    -1.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Scottish Premiership Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.78

    xGA 2.42

    xGD -1.64

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Hibernian, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.34
    Points minus xPts
    -0.34

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Scottish Premiership Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.22

    xGA 0.70

    xGD +1.52

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Aberdeen, Sat 08/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.46
    Points minus xPts
    +0.54

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →