xgEdge

Scottish Premiership odds: performance 2026/2027

Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.

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How the Scottish Premiership qualified selections in History have done, on an equal stake of one unit each. The record starts when the live feed started, and nothing in it was added afterwards.

How these figures are counted

Staking
A flat 1 unit on every selection. A win returns the price less the stake, a loss costs the stake, and a void returns it.
Which selections count
A selection counts if it was a qualified edge at the model's last evaluation before kickoff: a price fresh by the odds schedule at that moment and captured no later than the evaluation, full model data, a market with measured skill, and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%. The same rule as the live board's.
Odds source
The best price across the bookmakers in the odds feed, at the last capture before kickoff.
When prices are captured
On the feed's schedule, more often as kickoff approaches. History shows when each price was captured.
Frozen, never backfilled
Every selection is frozen at kickoff. Nothing evaluated or priced at or after kickoff is counted, and no selection is ever added afterwards. ROI is shown from 30 settled selections.

2026/2027 so far

Settled
31
Won
11
Lost
20
Void
0
Staked
31.00u
Profit
+4.71u
ROI
+15.2%
Average price
4.59
Win rate
35.5% against 30.7% average implied probability

Cumulative units

Scottish Premiership 2026/2027: cumulative profit in units Cumulative profit from 29 Aug to 21 Sep, ending at +4.71u. The lowest point was −9.09u on 7 Sep; the highest was +7.24u on 16 Sep. −10.00u −5.00u 0.00u +5.00u +10.00u 29 Aug 21 Sep
Running profit on a flat stake of one unit, after each day selections were settled. The heavier horizontal line is zero.
Show as table
Scottish Premiership 2026/2027: profit by settlement day
Settled That day Cumulative
30 Aug −0.27u −0.27u
3 Sep −4.39u −4.66u
4 Sep −0.43u −5.09u
6 Sep −3.00u −8.09u
7 Sep −1.00u −9.09u
10 Sep +0.25u −8.84u
16 Sep +16.08u +7.24u
21 Sep −2.53u +4.71u

By market

Scottish Premiership selections by market
Market Settled Won Profit ROI
Home team to score 5 1 +3.00u —
Away team to score 5 1 −3.27u —
Full-time result (1X2) 9 2 +1.45u —
Home team 2+ goals 6 5 +5.16u —
Away team 2+ goals 6 2 −1.63u —

A market's ROI is shown from 30 settled selections in it.