Scottish Premiership odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Scottish Premiership qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock – Heart of Midlothian Kilmarnock to win | Model prob. 26.9% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Kilmarnock – Heart of Midlothian Heart of Midlothian not to score | Model prob. 19.7% | Price 7.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Kilmarnock – Heart of Midlothian Heart of Midlothian at most 1 goal | Model prob. 54.4% | Price 2.38 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.38u |
| Hibernian – Aberdeen Hibernian not to score | Model prob. 21.0% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Hibernian – Aberdeen Hibernian at most 1 goal | Model prob. 56.4% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| St. Mirren – Dundee United Dundee United not to score | Model prob. 28.4% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| St. Mirren – Dundee United Dundee United at most 1 goal | Model prob. 67.1% | Price 1.62 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Hibernian – Kilmarnock Kilmarnock to win | Model prob. 17.9% | Price 6.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +5.25u |
| Motherwell – Aberdeen Aberdeen not to score | Model prob. 40.6% | Price 2.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Motherwell – Aberdeen Aberdeen at most 1 goal | Model prob. 80.1% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Falkirk FC – Heart of Midlothian Falkirk FC to win | Model prob. 28.3% | Price 4.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.20u |
| Hibernian – Kilmarnock Hibernian not to score | Model prob. 13.8% | Price 8.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +7.00u |
| Hibernian – Kilmarnock Hibernian at most 1 goal | Model prob. 43.5% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.63u |
| Falkirk FC – Heart of Midlothian Heart of Midlothian at most 1 goal | Model prob. 64.8% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.00u |
| Rangers – St. Mirren St. Mirren to win | Model prob. 14.9% | Price 7.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Rangers – St. Mirren Rangers not to score | Model prob. 13.0% | Price 10.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Rangers – St. Mirren Rangers at most 1 goal | Model prob. 42.0% | Price 3.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.25u |
| Heart of Midlothian – Dundee FC Dundee FC to win | Model prob. 17.1% | Price 7.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| St. Mirren – Celtic St. Mirren to win | Model prob. 21.3% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundee United – Falkirk FC Falkirk FC to win | Model prob. 33.6% | Price 3.60 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Aberdeen – Kilmarnock Kilmarnock to win | Model prob. 29.0% | Price 4.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Hibernian – Heart of Midlothian Hibernian not to score | Model prob. 28.5% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Hibernian – Heart of Midlothian Hibernian at most 1 goal | Model prob. 67.3% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.57u |
| Falkirk FC – Rangers Falkirk FC to win | Model prob. 22.1% | Price 5.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Falkirk FC – Rangers Rangers not to score | Model prob. 18.2% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Falkirk FC – Rangers Rangers at most 1 goal | Model prob. 51.7% | Price 2.38 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Celtic – Aberdeen Celtic not to score | Model prob. 10.5% | Price 13.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Celtic – Aberdeen Celtic at most 1 goal | Model prob. 36.1% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Kilmarnock – St. Mirren Kilmarnock at most 1 goal | Model prob. 66.1% | Price 1.62 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.62u |
| Celtic – Falkirk FC Falkirk FC to score | Model prob. 63.0% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| Celtic – Falkirk FC Falkirk FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 23.0% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →