Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership results 2026/2027

Every Scottish Premiership match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

The season's model record appears after 20 matches.

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

1 match

13:00

Celtic 0

Rangers 1

xG 0.71 – 1.23 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

→

Saturday, 19/09/2026

5 matches

18:45

Kilmarnock 1

Heart of Midlothian 1

xG 0.23 – 1.78 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
16:00

St. Mirren 0

Dundee United 3

xG 0.85 – 1.52 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

St. Johnstone 1

Falkirk FC 1

xG 0.68 – 0.90 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
16:00

Hibernian 1

Aberdeen 1

xG 1.43 – 0.77 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
16:00

Dundee FC 2

Motherwell 1

xG 1.36 – 1.10 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Tuesday, 15/09/2026

3 matches

20:45

Motherwell 0

Aberdeen 4

xG 0.77 – 0.91 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
20:45

Falkirk FC 2

Heart of Midlothian 1

xG 2.05 – 1.72 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
20:45

Hibernian 0

Kilmarnock 1

xG 1.31 – 1.95 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Wednesday, 09/09/2026

2 matches

21:00

St. Johnstone 0

Celtic 1

xG 0.77 – 2.22 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
20:45

Rangers 1

St. Mirren 0

xG 2.13 – 1.10 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

2 matches

16:00

St. Johnstone 2

Hibernian 1

xG 2.49 – 1.72 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Heart of Midlothian 2

Dundee FC 1

xG 1.87 – 0.51 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

4 matches

21:00

St. Mirren 1

Celtic 2

xG 1.74 – 2.93 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Rangers 1

Motherwell 0

xG 3.93 – 0.51 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Dundee United 1

Falkirk FC 1

xG 2.27 – 0.85 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

Aberdeen 0

Kilmarnock 0

xG 0.85 – 0.93 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→

Thursday, 03/09/2026

1 match

20:45

Hibernian 1

Heart of Midlothian 3

xG 1.70 – 0.82 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Wednesday, 02/09/2026

5 matches

21:00

Falkirk FC 1

Rangers 2

xG 0.85 – 1.57 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Kilmarnock 0

St. Mirren 1

xG 0.43 – 1.09 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Motherwell 3

Dundee United 0

xG 2.15 – 0.19 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Celtic 3

Aberdeen 0

xG 2.47 – 0.66 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Dundee FC 1

St. Johnstone 1

xG 1.97 – 1.08 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

3 matches

16:00

Dundee FC 1

Hibernian 2

xG 0.78 – 2.42 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

St. Mirren 3

Motherwell 3

xG 2.32 – 2.11 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
13:00

Aberdeen 0

Rangers 1

xG 0.45 – 1.84 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

3 matches

16:00

Heart of Midlothian 2

St. Johnstone 1

xG 1.71 – 1.16 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Celtic 2

Falkirk FC 1

xG 2.87 – 0.53 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Kilmarnock 0

Dundee United 4

xG 1.03 – 3.50 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 22/08/2026

6 matches

18:45

Dundee United 0

Dundee FC 2

xG 1.23 – 1.68 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Motherwell

Aberdeen
Void
→
16:00

St. Johnstone

Celtic
Void
→
16:00

Rangers

St. Mirren
Void
→
16:00

Hibernian

Kilmarnock
Void
→
16:00

Falkirk FC

Heart of Midlothian
Void
→

Sunday, 09/08/2026

4 matches

17:00

Rangers 1

Hibernian 2

xG 2.05 – 1.74 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Heart of Midlothian 4

Dundee United 0

xG 2.09 – 0.54 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Motherwell 0

Falkirk FC 0

xG 0.89 – 0.44 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Kilmarnock 1

Celtic 5

xG 0.86 – 5.64 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 08/08/2026

2 matches

16:00

St. Mirren 1

St. Johnstone 0

xG 1.36 – 1.13 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Dundee FC 2

Aberdeen 0

xG 2.22 – 0.70 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 03/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Celtic 1

Dundee FC 0

xG 2.55 – 0.47 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 02/08/2026

2 matches

17:30

Hibernian 1

Motherwell 2

xG 1.92 – 2.00 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
15:00

St. Johnstone 4

Kilmarnock 3

xG 1.76 – 0.79 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 01/08/2026

2 matches

18:30

Aberdeen 2

Heart of Midlothian 1

xG 2.66 – 1.34 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Falkirk FC 0

St. Mirren 2

xG 0.71 – 1.64 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 31/07/2026

1 match

21:00

Dundee United 1

Rangers 1

xG 1.64 – 1.46 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.