Cremonese 0:2 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 12:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Cremonese Home 0.99 xG · 15 shots

Milan Away 3.51 xG · 20 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

89' Strahinja Pavlović Milan · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
90' Rafael Leão Milan · 0.85 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Cremonese Milan

Shots: 15; 20
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 10; 15
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.48; 2.60
Set-piece xG: 0.48; 0.97
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.99 for Cremonese and 3.51 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cremonese
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cremonese

0.84 xG created 1.39 xGA

D 0.73 created, 0.51 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.65 created, 1.10 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.60 created, 1.34 conceded against Inter
L 0.62 created, 2.11 conceded against Atalanta
D 2.36 created, 1.25 conceded against Genoa
L 0.07 created, 2.00 conceded against Roma

Milan

1.68 xG created 1.01 xGA

W 2.60 created, 0.17 conceded against Lecce
D 0.44 created, 2.75 conceded against Roma
W 2.62 created, 0.45 conceded against Bologna
W 2.35 created, 0.77 conceded against Pisa
D 0.76 created, 1.45 conceded against Como
L 1.33 created, 0.46 conceded against Parma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Cremonese: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Milan 1:2 Cremonese 23/08/2025 xG 1.88 – 0.21

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.