Atalanta 2:1 Cremonese: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 09/02/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 2.11 xG · 29 shots

Cremonese Away 0.62 xG · 12 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.30 xG chance 1–0
25' Davide Zappacosta Atalanta · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
90' Morten Thorsby Cremonese · 0.14 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Atalanta Cremonese

Shots: 29; 12
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 21; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.68; 0.48
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.11 for Atalanta and 0.62 for Cremonese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

41 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Cremonese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.93 xG created 1.74 xGA

W 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Roma
W 1.38 created, 1.10 conceded against Bologna
W 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Torino
D 1.15 created, 1.19 conceded against Pisa
W 4.07 created, 1.38 conceded against Parma
D 0.52 created, 5.24 conceded against Como

Cremonese

0.90 xG created 1.70 xGA

L 0.73 created, 2.06 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.81 created, 1.80 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.90 created, 3.40 conceded against Juventus
D 0.73 created, 0.51 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.65 created, 1.10 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.60 created, 1.34 conceded against Inter

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Cremonese 1:1 Atalanta 25/10/2025 xG 1.12 – 1.15

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.