Pisa 1:2 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 13/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Pisa Home 0.77 xG · 7 shots

Milan Away 2.35 xG · 7 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Ruben Loftus-Cheek Milan · 0.36 xG chance 0–1
71' Felipe Loyola Pisa · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
85' Luka Modrić Milan · 0.66 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Pisa Milan

Shots: 7; 7
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 3; 7
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.34
Open play xG: 0.77; 1.31
Set-piece xG: 0.03; 0.23
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.77 for Pisa and 1.56 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

14 shots · 3.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Pisa
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Pisa

1.03 xG created 1.96 xGA

L 1.56 created, 1.73 conceded against Como
D 1.48 created, 2.23 conceded against Udinese
D 1.19 created, 1.15 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.34 created, 4.99 conceded against Inter
L 0.79 created, 1.63 conceded against Sassuolo
D 0.82 created, 0.06 conceded against Hellas Verona

Milan

1.89 xG created 1.41 xGA

D 2.45 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa
D 1.93 created, 1.90 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.28 created, 1.87 conceded against Como
W 2.60 created, 0.17 conceded against Lecce
D 0.44 created, 2.75 conceded against Roma
W 2.62 created, 0.45 conceded against Bologna

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Pisa: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Milan 2:2 Pisa 24/10/2025 xG 1.54 – 1.42

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.