xgEdge

Every Serie A match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Friday, 18/12/2026

2 matches
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.38
    Tight
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.95 – 2.13
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 19/12/2026

3 matches
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.36
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.10
    →

Sunday, 20/12/2026

5 matches
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.00
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.05
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.46
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.10
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.31
    →

Saturday, 02/01/2027

5 matches
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.08
    Tight
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.22
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.06
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.21 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.04
    →

Sunday, 03/01/2027

5 matches
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.19 – 1.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.36
    Tight
    →
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.09 – 0.78
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.85 – 1.40
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.15
    →

Tuesday, 05/01/2027

3 matches
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.18
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.85
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.07
    →

Wednesday, 06/01/2027

5 matches
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.73 – 0.73
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.30
    Tight
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.02
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.55
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.67
    →

Thursday, 07/01/2027

2 matches
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.20
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 0.85
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 09/01/2027

3 matches
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.22
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.63 – 0.89
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 0.78
    →

Sunday, 10/01/2027

5 matches
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.64 – 0.96
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.65 – 0.86
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.27
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.27
    Tight
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.23
    →

Monday, 11/01/2027

2 matches
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.46
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.44
    →

Sunday, 17/01/2027

10 matches
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 0.96
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.88 – 1.96
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 0.66
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.36
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.70
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.28
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.01
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 0.99
    →
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.59
    Tight
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.59
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.