Genoa 1:2 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 12:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Genoa Home 1.32 xG · 11 shots

Milan Away 1.75 xG · 8 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

51' Christopher Nkunku (pen.) Milan · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
81' Zachary Athekame Milan · 0.12 xG chance 0–2
87' Johan Vásquez Genoa · 0.22 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Genoa Milan

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.24
Open play xG: 0.98; 0.99
Set-piece xG: 0.40; 0.13
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.35 for Genoa and 1.11 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 3.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Genoa
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Genoa

0.97 xG created 1.43 xGA

L 1.37 created, 2.20 conceded against Juventus
W 1.18 created, 1.24 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.65 created, 1.13 conceded against Pisa
L 0.59 created, 1.06 conceded against Como
D 0.52 created, 1.96 conceded against Atalanta
D 0.50 created, 1.00 conceded against Fiorentina

Milan

1.03 xG created 1.02 xGA

L 0.47 created, 0.75 conceded against Napoli
L 1.78 created, 1.19 conceded against Udinese
W 0.85 created, 0.71 conceded against Hellas Verona
D 0.65 created, 0.52 conceded against Juventus
L 0.24 created, 1.58 conceded against Sassuolo
L 2.21 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Genoa: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Milan 1:1 Genoa 08/01/2026 xG 2.45 – 1.32

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.