xgEdge

Expected goals

Asteras Aktor expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Super League Greece · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

Asteras Aktor's attacking and defensive expected goals in Super League Greece 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Asteras Aktor xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.04 xG per match
#8/14
Attack (xG per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Panathinaikos 2.13
#2 AEK Athens 2.02
#3 PAOK 1.85
#4 Olympiacos FC 1.81
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 1.52
#6 AE Kifisia 1.33
#7 PS Kalamata 1.26
#8 Asteras Aktor 1.04
#9 OFI Crete 1.04
#10 NPS Volos 0.93
#11 Atromitos Athens 0.91
#12 Panetolikos 0.89
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.62
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.57
League avg
1.27
Total
5.21 5 matches
Defence
1.24 xGA per match
#7/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.56
#2 AE Kifisia 0.70
#3 Panathinaikos 0.81
#4 AEK Athens 0.95
#5 OFI Crete 1.18
#6 PAOK 1.20
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.24
#8 APO Levadiakos 1.41
#9 Iraklis 1908 1.45
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.53
#11 NPS Volos 1.53
#12 PS Kalamata 1.57
#13 Panetolikos 1.59
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 1.81
League avg
1.27
Total
6.20 5 matches
xG difference
-0.20 xGD per match
#7/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Panathinaikos +1.31
#2 Olympiacos FC +1.25
#3 AEK Athens +1.07
#4 PAOK +0.65
#5 AE Kifisia +0.63
#6 OFI Crete -0.14
#7 Asteras Aktor -0.20
#8 Aris Thessaloniki -0.28
#9 PS Kalamata -0.31
#10 NPS Volos -0.60
#11 Atromitos Athens -0.62
#12 Panetolikos -0.70
#13 APO Levadiakos -0.79
#14 Iraklis 1908 -0.88
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.99 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.22 xPts per match
#7/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 2.25
#2 Panathinaikos 2.17
#3 AEK Athens 1.96
#4 AE Kifisia 1.92
#5 PAOK 1.88
#6 Aris Thessaloniki 1.39
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.22
#8 OFI Crete 1.22
#9 PS Kalamata 1.20
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.02
#11 Panetolikos 1.02
#12 NPS Volos 0.94
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.71
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.65
League avg
1.38
Total
6.12 vs 2 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Asteras Aktor's underlying numbers sit close to the Super League Greece average. They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.20 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 4 goals are 1.21 below 5.21 xG, while 2 points are 4.12 below 6.12 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.78 xG from penalties
4 5.21 -1.21 scored 1.21 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 6.20 +2.80 conceded 2.80 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2 6.12 -4.12 4.12 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Asteras Aktor are 1.21 goals below their xG after 5 matches. The gap was widest at -2.47, against AEK Athens on Sun 13/09.

Goals
4
xG
5.21
Gap
-1.21
Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Mon 07/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.19 -1.02 -2.01 -2.47 -1.21 -0.19 -0.83 -0.99 -0.46 +1.26 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Asteras Aktor: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 23/08 Panetolikos 1 1.19 -0.19 -0.19
Sun 30/08 Olympiacos FC 0 0.83 -0.83 -1.02
Mon 07/09 Iraklis 1908 0 0.99 -0.99 -2.01
Sun 13/09 AEK Athens 1 1.46 -0.46 -2.47
Sun 20/09 OFI Crete 2 0.74 +1.26 -1.21

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Asteras Aktor xG trend

Current form -0.37 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches. The worst was against Olympiacos FC on Sun 30/08 (-0.87).

npxG · last 5
0.89
npxGA · last 5
1.26
-1 0 +1 +0.69 Sun 23/08 -0.87 Sun 30/08 -0.72 Mon 07/09 -0.81 Sun 13/09 -0.14 Sun 20/09 -0.37 season avg
Asteras Aktor: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 23/08 Panetolikos 1.19 0.50 +0.69 +0.69
Sun 30/08 Olympiacos FC 0.84 1.71 -0.87 -0.09
Mon 07/09 Iraklis 1908 0.20 0.92 -0.72 -0.30
Sun 13/09 AEK Athens 1.46 2.27 -0.81 -0.43
Sun 20/09 OFI Crete 0.74 0.88 -0.14 -0.37

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.89 npxG and 1.26 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 14 in Super League Greece
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 14

  1. OFI Crete Away −0.22
  2. AEK Athens Home +0.61
  3. Iraklis 1908 Home −0.35
  4. Olympiacos FC Home +0.80
  5. Panetolikos Away −0.52

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Asteras Aktor shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Asteras Aktor take 11.6 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), =6 in Super League Greece for volume and #10 for quality. 74% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 23%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.6 shots per match
=6/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 19.2
#2 Panathinaikos 18.0
#3 AEK Athens 17.2
#4 Aris Thessaloniki 16.2
#5 PAOK 12.2
=6 Asteras Aktor 11.6
=6 Atromitos Athens 11.6
=6 PS Kalamata 11.6
#9 AE Kifisia 11.5
#10 NPS Volos 11.2
#11 OFI Crete 10.8
#12 APO Levadiakos 9.2
#13 Panetolikos 8.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 7.8
League avg
12.5
Total
58 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#10/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Panetolikos 0.13
#2 PAOK 0.13
#3 PS Kalamata 0.11
#4 AEK Athens 0.11
#5 AE Kifisia 0.10
#6 Panathinaikos 0.09
#7 OFI Crete 0.08
#8 NPS Volos 0.08
#9 Olympiacos FC 0.08
#10 Asteras Aktor 0.08
#11 Aris Thessaloniki 0.08
#12 Atromitos Athens 0.07
#13 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#14 APO Levadiakos 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
4.43 npxG from 58 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.6 shots per match
#7/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AE Kifisia 8.3
#2 Panathinaikos 8.7
#3 Olympiacos FC 9.0
#4 AEK Athens 10.6
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 11.4
#6 NPS Volos 12.4
#7 Asteras Aktor 12.6
#8 APO Levadiakos 13.0
#9 PAOK 13.2
#10 Atromitos Athens 13.6
#11 OFI Crete 14.0
#12 Panetolikos 14.5
#13 PS Kalamata 14.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 17.6
League avg
12.5
Total
63 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#11/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.06
#2 OFI Crete 0.07
#3 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#4 PAOK 0.07
#5 AE Kifisia 0.09
#6 Panetolikos 0.09
#7 NPS Volos 0.09
#8 Atromitos Athens 0.09
#9 AEK Athens 0.09
#10 PS Kalamata 0.10
#11 Asteras Aktor 0.10
#12 APO Levadiakos 0.10
#13 Panathinaikos 0.13
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 0.15
League avg
0.09
Total
6.28 npxGA from 63 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

74% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 43 of 58 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 43 of 63 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.0 of 5.1 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.5 of 5.4 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Asteras Aktor home and away xG

Asteras Aktor per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 3 2
xG / match 1.09 0.97
xGA / match 1.60 0.71
xGD / match -0.50 +0.26
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.99 1.57

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Asteras Aktor match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.04
xGA / match
1.24
xGD / match
-0.20
Points
2 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 OFI Crete A xG 0.74 xGA 0.91 xGD -0.17
  2. Sun 13/09 AEK Athens H xG 1.46 xGA 2.17 xGD -0.71
  3. Mon 07/09 Iraklis 1908 H xG 0.99 P xGA 0.92 xGD +0.07
  4. Sun 30/08 Olympiacos FC H Weakest underlying xG 0.83 xGA 1.70 xGD -0.87
  5. Sun 23/08 Panetolikos A Best underlying xG 1.19 xGA 0.50 xGD +0.69

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Asteras Aktor in Super League Greece

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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