xgEdge

Expected goals

Gençlerbirliği expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 4 Oct

Gençlerbirliği's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Gençlerbirliği xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.01 xG per match
#16/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
6.04 6 matches
Defence
2.16 xGA per match
#18/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
12.95 6 matches
xG difference
-1.15 xGD per match
#17/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.91 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.72 xPts per match
#17/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
4.34 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Gençlerbirliği's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Süper Lig. They rank #17 for xG difference at -1.15 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 5 goals are 1.04 below 6.04 xG, while 7 points are 2.66 above 4.34 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
5 6.04 -1.04 scored 1.04 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 12.95 +0.05 conceded 0.05 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 4.34 +2.66 2.66 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Gençlerbirliği are 1.04 goals below their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
5
xG
6.04
Gap
-1.04
Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.81 +0.25 +0.50 -0.36 -0.52 -1.04 +0.81 -0.56 +0.25 -0.86 -0.16 -0.52 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Gençlerbirliği: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 Fenerbahçe 2 1.19 +0.81 +0.81
Sun 23/08 Göztepe 1 1.56 -0.56 +0.25
Fri 28/08 Erzurumspor FK 1 0.75 +0.25 +0.50
Sun 06/09 Trabzonspor 0 0.86 -0.86 -0.36
Sun 13/09 Kasımpaşa 1 1.16 -0.16 -0.52
Sat 19/09 Başakşehir FK 0 0.52 -0.52 -1.04

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Gençlerbirliği xG trend

Current form -0.86 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 6 matches. The worst was against Fenerbahçe on Sat 15/08 (-2.21).

npxG · last 6
1.00
npxGA · last 6
1.85
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.21 Sat 15/08 +0.41 Sun 23/08 -0.17 Fri 28/08 -1.56 Sun 06/09 -0.06 Sun 13/09 -1.54 Sat 19/09 -0.86 season avg
Gençlerbirliği: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 15/08 Fenerbahçe 1.18 3.39 -2.21 -2.21
Sun 23/08 Göztepe 1.52 1.11 +0.41 -0.90
Fri 28/08 Erzurumspor FK 0.80 0.97 -0.17 -0.66
Sun 06/09 Trabzonspor 0.86 2.42 -1.56 -0.88
Sun 13/09 Kasımpaşa 1.15 1.21 -0.06 -0.72
Sat 19/09 Başakşehir FK 0.46 2.00 -1.54 -0.86

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.00 npxG and 1.85 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Başakşehir FK Away −0.02
  2. Kasımpaşa Home −0.17
  3. Trabzonspor Away +0.16
  4. Erzurumspor FK Home −0.25
  5. Göztepe Away +0.07
  6. Fenerbahçe Home +0.45

Last 5

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 18

  1. Başakşehir FK Away −0.02
  2. Kasımpaşa Home −0.17
  3. Trabzonspor Away +0.16
  4. Erzurumspor FK Home −0.25
  5. Göztepe Away +0.07

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Gençlerbirliği shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Gençlerbirliği take 12.0 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #14 in Süper Lig for volume and #10 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 25% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.0 shots per match
#14/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
72 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#10/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
5.97 npxG from 72 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.2 shots per match
=17/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
109 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#15/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
11.10 npxGA from 109 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 42 of 72 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 77 of 109 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.5 of 6.0 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

68% open play · 32% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.5 of 11.0 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Gençlerbirliği home and away xG

Gençlerbirliği per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 1.03 0.98
xGA / match 1.69 2.62
xGD / match -0.66 -1.64
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.95 0.50

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Gençlerbirliği match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
3
xG / match
0.98
xGA / match
2.62
xGD / match
-1.64
Points
3 of 9
  1. Sat 19/09 Başakşehir FK A xG 0.52 xGA 2.74 P xGD -2.22
  2. Sun 06/09 Trabzonspor A xG 0.86 xGA 3.21 P xGD -2.35
  3. Sun 23/08 Göztepe A xG 1.56 xGA 1.92 P xGD -0.36

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Gençlerbirliği in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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