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Expected goals

Trabzonspor expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 4 Oct

Trabzonspor's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Trabzonspor xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.71 xG per match
#6/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
10.29 6 matches
Defence
1.56 xGA per match
=12/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
9.33 6 matches
xG difference
+0.16 xGD per match
#5/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.96 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.45 xPts per match
#7/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
8.68 vs 10 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Trabzonspor's underlying numbers are among the best in Süper Lig. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.16 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 13 goals are 2.71 above 10.29 xG, while 10 points are 1.32 above 8.68 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.06 xG from penalties
13 10.29 +2.71 scored 2.71 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
5 9.33 -4.33 conceded 4.33 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 8.68 +1.32 1.32 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Trabzonspor are 2.71 goals above their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
13
xG
10.29
Gap
+2.71
Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.15 -0.12 -0.05 +1.74 +0.91 +2.71 +0.15 -0.27 +0.07 +1.79 -0.83 +1.80 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Trabzonspor: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 Kasımpaşa 1 0.85 +0.15 +0.15
Sun 23/08 Başakşehir FK 2 2.27 -0.27 -0.12
Mon 31/08 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1 0.93 +0.07 -0.05
Sun 06/09 Gençlerbirliği 5 3.21 +1.79 +1.74
Sat 12/09 Konyaspor 0 0.83 -0.83 +0.91
Sat 19/09 Galatasaray 4 2.20 +1.80 +2.71

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Trabzonspor xG trend

Current form +0.40 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 6 matches. The worst was against Amed Sportif Faaliyetler on Mon 31/08 (-1.34).

npxG · last 6
1.54
npxGA · last 6
1.14
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.13 Sat 15/08 +1.03 Sun 23/08 -1.34 Mon 31/08 +1.56 Sun 06/09 -0.17 Sat 12/09 +1.42 Sat 19/09 +0.39 season avg
Trabzonspor: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 15/08 Kasımpaşa 0.79 0.92 -0.13 -0.13
Sun 23/08 Başakşehir FK 2.05 1.02 +1.03 +0.45
Mon 31/08 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.85 2.19 -1.34 -0.15
Sun 06/09 Gençlerbirliği 2.42 0.86 +1.56 +0.28
Sat 12/09 Konyaspor 0.84 1.01 -0.17 +0.19
Sat 19/09 Galatasaray 2.28 0.86 +1.42 +0.39

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.54 npxG and 1.14 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
tied number 3 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Galatasaray Home +0.67
  2. Konyaspor Away −0.08
  3. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40
  4. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Away +0.27
  5. Başakşehir FK Home −0.02
  6. Kasımpaşa Away −0.17

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 18

  1. Galatasaray Home +0.67
  2. Konyaspor Away −0.08
  3. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40
  4. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Away +0.27
  5. Başakşehir FK Home −0.02

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Trabzonspor shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. Trabzonspor take 14.2 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #7 in Süper Lig for volume and #4 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.2 shots per match
#7/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
85 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#4/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
9.23 npxG from 85 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.7 shots per match
#5/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
76 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#12/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
6.86 npxGA from 76 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 59 of 85 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 48 of 76 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.6 of 9.2 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

53% open play · 47% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.2 of 6.7 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Trabzonspor home and away xG

Trabzonspor per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 2.56 0.87
xGA / match 1.26 1.85
xGD / match +1.30 -0.98
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.19 0.71

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Trabzonspor match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
3
xG / match
2.56
xGA / match
1.26
xGD / match
+1.30
Points
9 of 9
  1. Sat 19/09 Galatasaray H xG 2.20 xGA 0.96 xGD +1.24
  2. Sun 06/09 Gençlerbirliği H xG 3.21 P xGA 0.86 xGD +2.35
  3. Sun 23/08 Başakşehir FK H xG 2.27 xGA 1.95 P xGD +0.32

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Trabzonspor in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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