Odense Boldklub 0:5 FC København: xG & match report · Superliga (Denmark)

Sunday, 06/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Superliga (Denmark)

Odense Boldklub Home 2.18 xG · 12 shots

FC København Away 2.84 xG · 11 shots

05 The scoreline reflected the chances

FC København were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 41%. They won 5–0. The biggest difference was FC København's attack: 2.84 xG against 1.60 projected (+1.24). Odense Boldklub produced 2.18 xG against 1.37 projected (+0.81).

Goals

5' Thapelo Maseko FC København · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
24' Asger Sørensen FC København · 0.96 xG chance 0–2
76' Thapelo Maseko FC København · 0.14 xG chance 0–3
82' Marvin Nasnas FC København · 0.68 xG chance 0–4
89' Maher Carrizo (pen.) FC København · 0.82 xG chance 0–5

The model against the result

priced before kick-off

Odense Boldklub: 30%
Draw: 29%
FC København: 41% What happened

Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.

Projected vs produced

Expected goals

Odense Boldklub 1.37 2.18 +0.81

FC København 1.60 2.84 +1.24

FC København produced 1.24 xG more than projected

Projected before kick-off Produced on the night

The shots behind it

Odense Boldklub FC København

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 5; 7
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.26
Open play xG: 0.69; 1.10
Set-piece xG: 0.85; 0.96
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.56 for Odense Boldklub and 2.05 for FC København.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 4.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Odense Boldklub
FC København
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Odense Boldklub

1.48 xG created 1.66 xGA

L 1.72 created, 2.04 conceded against Viborg FF
W 2.11 created, 0.59 conceded against Sønderjyske Fodbold
L 1.14 created, 1.92 conceded against Silkeborg IF
L 1.37 created, 1.58 conceded against AC Horsens
D 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against AGF
D 1.75 created, 1.97 conceded against Lyngby

FC København

1.41 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 1.56 created, 2.34 conceded against Lyngby
W 1.20 created, 1.52 conceded against Silkeborg IF
W 1.30 created, 0.46 conceded against Randers FC
L 0.34 created, 1.19 conceded against Viborg FF
W 2.43 created, 0.78 conceded against Sønderjyske Fodbold
W 1.62 created, 0.63 conceded against FC Nordsjælland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Odense Boldklub: 1 won · 2 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

Fit window: the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
Odense Boldklub sample: 20 matches
FC København sample: 20 matches
Computed: 1 hour before kick-off

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.